COMP <GO>
ZTO vs CAT // DIVIDEND YIELD & FCF PAYOUT SAFETY
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (NYSE) VS. Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ZTO 11
— CAT 4
▲ DIVIDEND YIELD & FCF PAYOUT SAFETY LEADER: ZTO
LAST: $20.15 (+1.36%) • MKT CAP: $15.31B
dividend-safety
3.51%
LAST: $622.75 (-3.81%) • MKT CAP: $286.26B
dividend-safety
1.05%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ZTO VS. CAT)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ZTO | CAT | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 25.00% | 82.20% | -57.20 | CAT | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 12.50% | 21.15% | -8.65 | CAT | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 7.2x | 20.9x | -13.66 | ZTO | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 6.31% | 3.74% | +2.57 | ZTO | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 21.30% | 17.52% | +3.78 | ZTO | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 18.50% | 14.51% | +3.99 | ZTO | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 6.60% | 18.36% | -11.76 | CAT | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety ACTIVE | 3.51% | 1.05% | +2.46 | ZTO | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 4.41 | 4.34 | +0.07 | ZTO | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 8/9 | 5/9 | +3.00 | ZTO | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | 7.30% | 8.46% | -1.16 | ZTO | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 50.6 | 23.6 | +26.99 | ZTO | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.11 | 1.02 | +0.09 | ZTO | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 11.0x | 26.0x | -14.96 | ZTO | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $15.31B | $286.26B | -$270.96B | CAT | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ZTO REV | CAT REV | ZTO GROSS % | CAT GROSS % | ZTO FCF | CAT FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $7.02B | $67.59B | 25.0% | 99.9% | $965.8M | $8.92B |
| FY 2024 | $6.07B | $64.81B | 31.0% | 100.0% | $852.3M | $10.05B |
| FY 2023 | $0 | $67.06B | — | 99.8% | $1.88B | $11.29B |
| FY 2022 | — | $59.43B | — | 99.3% | — | $6.47B |
| FY 2021 | — | $50.97B | — | 30.3% | — | $6.11B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ZTO // BETA 1.11
CAT // BETA 1.02