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NTNX // Nutanix Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0001618732 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$70.71 ▼ -1.96 (-2.70%)
MKT CAP: $19.28B • VOL: 1.70M
NTNX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +25.5% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC +0.7% • Z 1.99
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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SIG <GO> CROSS-FEED TRIANGULATION // PROPRIETARY ANOMALY ENGINE (1 ACTIVE ON NTNX)
ALL MARKET ANOMALIES <SIG>
▼ BEARISH // F-RATED EARNINGS MIRAGE // ACCRUAL WATCHSIFTER 02 // ACCRUAL & RECEIVABLES FORENSICS
SEVERITY: 94/100 Z-SCORE: +3.65σ

NTNX Accounting Gap: Net Income (+220%) Outpaced OCF (+22.1%) With +29.4% Working-Capital Build

CASH CONVERSION GAP
+197.9% (NI vs OCF)
RECEIVABLES / WC BLOAT
+29.4% VS REV
60D C-SUITE FORM 4 SALES
0 OPEN-MKT DUMPS
[GEEK DESK FORENSIC NOTE // SEC XBRL × FORM 4 CROSS-CHECK]
SEC EDGAR XBRL CompanyFacts10-K/10-Q Working Capital ScheduleSEC Form 4 Executive Sales

SEC EDGAR XBRL triangulation on Nutanix Inc. (NTNX) exposes a +197.9% Cash Conversion Gap as YoY Net Income growth (+220.0%) diverged from Operating Cash Flow growth (+22.1%). Non-cash current assets and receivables expanded +29.4% relative to top-line revenue growth. Monitor upcoming 10-Q cash realization closely for accrual mean-reversion.

NTNX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +64.37%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $69.60H $69.81L $66.05C $67.21VOL 2.12M
RES: $76.68SUP: $68.64SMA50: $69.51SMA200: $52.44
$78.53$67.95$57.37$46.79$36.21RES $76.68SUP $68.64$67.212026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
NTNX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 30/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Nutanix Inc. (NTNX) exhibits 86.8% gross margins and 8.8% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 87.5x enterprise multiple and 7.4% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 86.8% gross profitability converts into 6.8% operating margin and 8.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.8% // GM: 86.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +18.1% paired with 3.89% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +18.1% // FCF YLD: 3.89%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.99 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.99 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 102.4x trailing P/E (86.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 102.4x // EV/EBITDA: 87.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.4% implied move with a 0.88 put/call ratio around $69.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.4% // P/C: 0.88
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend 7.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.4% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 86.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.14).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 102.4x
FORWARD P/E 86.0x
EV / EBITDA 87.5x
FCF YIELD 3.89%
GROSS MARGIN 86.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.8%
NET MARGIN 7.4%
ROIC % 8.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +18.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.69
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.4
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.14
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NTNXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $64.70
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NTNX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.
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