ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SPHR // Sphere Entertainment Co.

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0001795250 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation
$113.10 ▲ +1.27 (+1.14%)
MKT CAP: $4.06B • VOL: 515.4K
SPHR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 65/100 [C] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NET GEX +0% • CALL SWEEP 52% • P/C 0.65
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
17 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did SPHR's Forensic Fundamentals & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SPHR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SPHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.38%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $112.2H $113.0L $108.0C $109.1VOL 777.5K
RES: $194.1SUP: $91.13SMA50: $129.0SMA200: $130.5
$188.5$159.9$131.3$102.7$74.10RES $194.1SUP $91.13$109.12026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
SPHR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) exhibits 41.0% gross margins and -7.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), balanced against a 121.6x enterprise multiple and 6.9% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.0% gross profitability converts into -18.8% operating margin and -7.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -7.3% // GM: 41.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +19.0% paired with 4.64% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +19.0% // FCF YLD: 4.64%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.30 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.30 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 121.6x trailing P/E (102.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 121.6x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.9% implied move with a 0.65 put/call ratio around $111.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.9% // P/C: 0.65
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation require continuous execution to defend 2.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.7% // D/E: 0.34x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 102.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.99).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 121.6x
FORWARD P/E 102.1x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 4.64%
GROSS MARGIN 41.0%
OPERATING MARGIN -18.8%
NET MARGIN 2.7%
ROIC % -7.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +19.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.93
DEBT / EQUITY 0.34x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 41.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.99
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SPHRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $103.49
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SPHR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>