ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AGX // Argan Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0000100591 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Engineering & Construction
$356.85 ▲ +4.16 (+1.18%)
MKT CAP: $5.01B • VOL: 176.2K
AGX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 69/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
69 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF +155.2% vs NI +61.2% • ROIC-WACC +16.9% • Z 6.22
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did AGX's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever AGX is Upgraded or Downgraded.

AGX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.64%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $338.8H $358.1L $336.4C $344.1VOL 168.4K
RES: $332.7SUP: $285.4SMA50: $388.8SMA200: $520.9
$839.9$698.4$557.0$415.6$274.1RES $332.7SUP $285.4$344.12026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
AGX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 60/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Argan Inc. (AGX) exhibits 20.5% gross margins and 24.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Engineering & Construction), balanced against a 36.0x enterprise multiple and 6.9% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 20.5% gross profitability converts into 14.3% operating margin and 24.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 24.9% // GM: 20.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.1% paired with 8.21% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.1% // FCF YLD: 8.21%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.22 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.22 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 36.3x trailing P/E (33.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 36.3x // EV/EBITDA: 36.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.9% implied move with a 0.84 put/call ratio around $350.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.9% // P/C: 0.84
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Engineering & Construction require continuous execution to defend 14.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.6% // D/E: 0.66x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 33.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.00).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 36.3x
FORWARD P/E 33.8x
EV / EBITDA 36.0x
FCF YIELD 8.21%
GROSS MARGIN 20.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 14.3%
NET MARGIN 14.6%
ROIC % 24.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $9.82
DEBT / EQUITY 0.66x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.48%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.00
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AGXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $326.53
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for AGX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>