ROARABLE // PRO
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FSV // FirstService Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0001637810 ↗
Financials • Real Estate
$144.50 ▲ +5.54 (+3.99%)
MKT CAP: $6.31B • VOL: 270.0K
FSV // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
70 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +84.1% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -0.1% • Z 2.98
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did FSV's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever FSV is Upgraded or Downgraded.

FSV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.35%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $146.8H $147.0L $142.8C $145.0VOL 369.4K
RES: $148.1SUP: $125.6SMA50: $135.7SMA200: $142.1
$170.1$156.4$142.6$128.9$115.1RES $148.1SUP $125.6$145.02026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
FSV // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 55/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

FirstService Corporation (FSV) exhibits 41.0% gross margins and 9.1% return on invested capital within Financials (Real Estate), balanced against a 15.7x enterprise multiple and 7.2% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.0% gross profitability converts into 19.1% operating margin and 9.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.1% // GM: 41.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +19.8% paired with 5.04% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +19.8% // FCF YLD: 5.04%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.98 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.98 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 23.9x trailing P/E (20.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 23.9x // EV/EBITDA: 15.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.2% implied move with a 0.70 put/call ratio around $142.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.2% // P/C: 0.70
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Real Estate require continuous execution to defend 14.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.9% // D/E: 0.39x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.09).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 23.9x
FORWARD P/E 20.1x
EV / EBITDA 15.7x
FCF YIELD 5.04%
GROSS MARGIN 41.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 19.1%
NET MARGIN 14.9%
ROIC % 9.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +19.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.04
DEBT / EQUITY 0.39x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.77%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 62.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.09
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FSVPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $132.22
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for FSV & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>