ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ARXS // Arxis Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0002093536 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$54.93 ▲ +0.80 (+1.48%)
MKT CAP: $23.66B • VOL: 2.07M
ARXS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 69/100 [C+] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI +182.9% • ROIC-WACC -3.9% • Z 4.58
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ARXS's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ARXS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ARXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +45.20%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $53.69H $54.14L $49.54C $50.82VOL 1.11M
RES: $54.90SUP: $47.45SMA50: $51.25SMA200: $46.07
$63.48$55.26$47.04$38.82$30.60RES $54.90SUP $47.45$50.822026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ARXS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Arxis Inc. (ARXS) exhibits 47.4% gross margins and 4.0% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 77.1x enterprise multiple and 7.1% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 47.4% gross profitability converts into 17.4% operating margin and 4.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.0% // GM: 47.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +114.1% paired with 0.76% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +114.1% // FCF YLD: 0.76%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.58 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.58 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 185.0x trailing P/E (140.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 185.0x // EV/EBITDA: 77.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.1% implied move with a 0.71 put/call ratio around $54.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.1% // P/C: 0.71
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend 2.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.9% // D/E: 0.83x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 140.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.06).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 185.0x
FORWARD P/E 140.0x
EV / EBITDA 77.1x
FCF YIELD 0.76%
GROSS MARGIN 47.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 17.4%
NET MARGIN 2.9%
ROIC % 4.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +114.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.11
DEBT / EQUITY 0.83x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.06
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ARXSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $50.26
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ARXS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>