ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ECG // Everus Construction Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0002015845 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Homebuilding
$108.06 ▲ +2.26 (+2.14%)
MKT CAP: $5.52B • VOL: 678.8K
ECG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C+ (RQD 66) -> C (RQD 65)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -120% vs NI +40.7% • ROIC-WACC +21.4% • Z 6.47
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ECG's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ECG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ECG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.39%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $102.0H $105.2L $99.26C $102.6VOL 517.1K
RES: $123.1SUP: $88.67SMA50: $114.7SMA200: $125.9
$177.2$153.9$130.7$107.4$84.17RES $123.1SUP $88.67$102.62026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ECG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 76/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Everus Construction Group Inc. (ECG) exhibits 12.1% gross margins and 30.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Homebuilding), balanced against a 13.7x enterprise multiple and 7.3% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 12.1% gross profitability converts into 7.1% operating margin and 30.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 30.4% // GM: 12.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +31.5% paired with -0.21% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +31.5% // FCF YLD: -0.21%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.47 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.47 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 27.3x trailing P/E (22.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 27.3x // EV/EBITDA: 13.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.3% implied move with a 0.63 put/call ratio around $106.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.3% // P/C: 0.63
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Homebuilding require continuous execution to defend 5.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.4% // D/E: 0.42x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 22.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.13).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 27.3x
FORWARD P/E 22.9x
EV / EBITDA 13.7x
FCF YIELD -0.21%
GROSS MARGIN 12.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 7.1%
NET MARGIN 5.4%
ROIC % 30.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +31.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.95
DEBT / EQUITY 0.42x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.13
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ECGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $98.88
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ECG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>