ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AMCR // Amcor plc

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0001748790 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Miscellaneous manufacturing industries
$47.13 ▲ +1.47 (+3.22%)
MKT CAP: $21.79B • VOL: 4.11M
AMCR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 59/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NET GEX +0% • CALL SWEEP 52% • P/C 0.79
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did AMCR's Forensic Fundamentals & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever AMCR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

AMCR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.58%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $47.20H $47.68L $46.90C $47.39VOL 4.55M
RES: $53.79SUP: $40.63SMA50: $44.02SMA200: $42.98
$49.83$46.15$42.47$38.79$35.11RES $53.79SUP $40.63$47.392026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
AMCR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 63/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Amcor plc (AMCR) exhibits 18.9% gross margins and 3.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), balanced against a 19.8x enterprise multiple and 6.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 18.9% gross profitability converts into 6.7% operating margin and 3.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.8% // GM: 18.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +49.0% paired with 3.28% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +49.0% // FCF YLD: 3.28%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.09 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.09 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 42.6x trailing P/E (35.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 42.6x // EV/EBITDA: 19.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.8% implied move with a 0.79 put/call ratio around $46.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.8% // P/C: 0.79
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Miscellaneous manufacturing industries require continuous execution to defend 3.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.4% // D/E: 0.92x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 35.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.97).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 42.6x
FORWARD P/E 35.8x
EV / EBITDA 19.8x
FCF YIELD 3.28%
GROSS MARGIN 18.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.7%
NET MARGIN 3.4%
ROIC % 3.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +49.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.11
DEBT / EQUITY 0.92x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.88%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 73.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.97
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AMCRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $43.13
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for AMCR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>