ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

STM // STMicroelectronics N.V.

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0000932787 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$49.99 ▲ +1.47 (+3.03%)
MKT CAP: $44.62B • VOL: 17.35M
STM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 69/100 [C+] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -31.5% vs NI -89.3% • ROIC-WACC -9.4% • Z 5.69
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
17 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did STM's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever STM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

STM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.23%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $47.59H $48.23L $45.39C $46.74VOL 13.86M
RES: $60.45SUP: $42.50SMA50: $50.31SMA200: $50.11
$85.04$70.03$55.01$40.00$24.98RES $60.45SUP $42.50$46.742026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
STM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) exhibits 33.9% gross margins and 0.8% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 69.6x enterprise multiple and 7.4% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 33.9% gross profitability converts into 1.5% operating margin and 0.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.8% // GM: 33.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -11.1% paired with 3.63% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -11.1% // FCF YLD: 3.63%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.69 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.69 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 185.0x trailing P/E (140.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 185.0x // EV/EBITDA: 69.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.4% implied move with a 0.71 put/call ratio around $49.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.4% // P/C: 0.71
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 1.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.4% // D/E: 0.10x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 140.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.14).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 185.0x
FORWARD P/E 140.0x
EV / EBITDA 69.6x
FCF YIELD 3.63%
GROSS MARGIN 33.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.5%
NET MARGIN 1.4%
ROIC % 0.8%
REV GROWTH YOY -11.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.19
DEBT / EQUITY 0.10x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.72%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.14
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // STMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $45.74
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for STM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>