ROARABLE // PRO
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LSTR // Landstar System Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0000853816 ↗
Industrials • Trucking Freight/Courier Services
$141.37 ▲ +2.57 (+1.85%)
MKT CAP: $4.77B • VOL: 1.18M
LSTR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF -15.9% vs NI -41.3% • ROIC-WACC +8.3% • Z 9.67
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did LSTR's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever LSTR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

LSTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.48%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $142.6H $144.7L $140.8C $142.7VOL 654.5K
RES: $170.1SUP: $158.8SMA50: $170.0SMA200: $176.8
$234.9$208.3$181.8$155.3$128.8RES $170.1SUP $158.8$142.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
LSTR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) exhibits 41.0% gross margins and 16.4% return on invested capital within Industrials (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), balanced against a 29.4x enterprise multiple and 6.5% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.0% gross profitability converts into 3.2% operating margin and 16.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 16.4% // GM: 41.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -1.6% paired with 4.51% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -1.6% // FCF YLD: 4.51%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 9.67 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 9.67 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 41.4x trailing P/E (38.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 41.4x // EV/EBITDA: 29.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.5% implied move with a 0.77 put/call ratio around $139.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.5% // P/C: 0.77
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Trucking Freight/Courier Services require continuous execution to defend 2.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.4% // D/E: 0.41x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 38.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.89).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 41.4x
FORWARD P/E 38.5x
EV / EBITDA 29.4x
FCF YIELD 4.51%
GROSS MARGIN 41.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 3.2%
NET MARGIN 2.4%
ROIC % 16.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -1.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.41
DEBT / EQUITY 0.41x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.62%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 27.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.89
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // LSTRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $129.36
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for LSTR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>