ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

IHG // Intercontinental Hotels Group American

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0000858446 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Hotels/Resorts
$169.66 ▲ +1.88 (+1.12%)
MKT CAP: $24.97B • VOL: 189.3K
IHG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +0% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +1.5% • Z 3.74
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did IHG's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever IHG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

IHG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $171.2H $171.2L $167.5C $167.8VOL 210.4K
RES: $173.0SUP: $151.2SMA50: $160.8SMA200: $152.2
$179.0$166.0$152.9$139.8$126.7RES $173.0SUP $151.2$167.82026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
IHG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 56/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Intercontinental Hotels Group American (IHG) exhibits 41.0% gross margins and 9.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Hotels/Resorts), balanced against a 21.0x enterprise multiple and 6.7% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.0% gross profitability converts into 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.9% // GM: 41.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +20.9% paired with 2.21% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +20.9% // FCF YLD: 2.21%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.74 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 32.8x trailing P/E (27.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 32.8x // EV/EBITDA: 21.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.7% implied move with a 0.73 put/call ratio around $166.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.7% // P/C: 0.73
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Hotels/Resorts require continuous execution to defend 10.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.9% // D/E: 0.39x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 27.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.94).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 32.8x
FORWARD P/E 27.6x
EV / EBITDA 21.0x
FCF YIELD 2.21%
GROSS MARGIN 41.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.9%
NET MARGIN 10.9%
ROIC % 9.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +20.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.17
DEBT / EQUITY 0.39x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.94
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // IHGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $155.24
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>