ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PCAR // PACCAR Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0000075362 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto Manufacturing
$102.29 ▼ -0.13 (-0.13%)
MKT CAP: $53.86B • VOL: 3.96M
PCAR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 65/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF -3.4% vs NI -42.9% • ROIC-WACC +1% • Z 3.23
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did PCAR's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever PCAR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

PCAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.22%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $102.7H $103.0L $101.3C $101.9VOL 4.50M
RES: $110.8SUP: $99.87SMA50: $114.8SMA200: $120.1
$142.0$130.6$119.3$107.9$96.54RES $110.8SUP $99.87$101.92026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PCAR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 38/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) exhibits 20.1% gross margins and 10.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto Manufacturing), balanced against a 16.3x enterprise multiple and 7.4% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 20.1% gross profitability converts into 10.2% operating margin and 10.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.0% // GM: 20.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -15.5% paired with 6.82% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -15.5% // FCF YLD: 6.82%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.23 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.23 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 22.7x trailing P/E (21.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 22.7x // EV/EBITDA: 16.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.4% implied move with a 0.88 put/call ratio around $100.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.4% // P/C: 0.88
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto Manufacturing require continuous execution to defend 8.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 8.4% // D/E: 0.46x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 21.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.16).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 22.7x
FORWARD P/E 21.1x
EV / EBITDA 16.3x
FCF YIELD 6.82%
GROSS MARGIN 20.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 10.2%
NET MARGIN 8.4%
ROIC % 10.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -15.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.51
DEBT / EQUITY 0.46x
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.21%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 25.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.16
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PCARPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $93.60
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PCAR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>