ROARABLE // PRO
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NVMI // Nova Ltd.

DES <GO> NASDAQ CIK 0001109345 ↗
Technology • Electronic Components
$334.59 ▼ -0.13 (-0.04%)
MKT CAP: $10.63B • VOL: 170.6K
NVMI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 62/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -0.1% vs NI +41.1% • ROIC-WACC +2.8% • Z 8.08
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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NVMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $313.5H $323.0L $305.4C $312.2VOL 322.5K
RES: $384.2SUP: $300.6SMA50: $353.4SMA200: $441.4
$637.8$547.5$457.2$367.0$276.7RES $384.2SUP $300.6$312.22026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
NVMI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 61/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Nova Ltd. (NVMI) exhibits 57.4% gross margins and 13.0% return on invested capital within Technology (Electronic Components), balanced against a 39.2x enterprise multiple and 8.2% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 57.4% gross profitability converts into 28.8% operating margin and 13.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.0% // GM: 57.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +31.0% paired with 2.05% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +31.0% // FCF YLD: 2.05%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.08 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.08 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 41.0x trailing P/E (34.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 41.0x // EV/EBITDA: 39.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±8.2% implied move with a 0.83 put/call ratio around $328.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±8.2% // P/C: 0.83
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electronic Components require continuous execution to defend 29.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 29.4% // D/E: 0.33x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 34.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.38).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 41.0x
FORWARD P/E 34.4x
EV / EBITDA 39.2x
FCF YIELD 2.05%
GROSS MARGIN 57.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 28.8%
NET MARGIN 29.4%
ROIC % 13.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +31.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $8.16
DEBT / EQUITY 0.33x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.38
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NVMIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $306.16
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NVMI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>