ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

GWRE // Guidewire Software Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001528396 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$160.07 ▼ -6.85 (-4.10%)
MKT CAP: $13.12B • VOL: 1.04M
GWRE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +55.8% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -7.5% • Z 7.24
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.12
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did GWRE's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever GWRE is Upgraded or Downgraded.

GWRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.49%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-01O $166.9H $166.9L $160.1C $160.1VOL 1.04M
RES: $189.1SUP: $143.1SMA50: $166.4SMA200: $149.0
$214.9$184.3$153.8$123.3$92.83RES $189.1SUP $143.1$160.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-01
GWRE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) exhibits 62.5% gross margins and 2.0% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 95.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 62.5% gross profitability converts into 3.4% operating margin and 2.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.0% // GM: 62.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +22.6% paired with 2.25% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +22.6% // FCF YLD: 2.25%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 7.24 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 7.24 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 95.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $160.07 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend 2.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.7% // D/E: 0.33x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.19).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 95.0x
FCF YIELD 2.25%
GROSS MARGIN 62.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 3.4%
NET MARGIN 2.7%
ROIC % 2.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +22.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.33x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 44.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.19
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // GWREPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $146.47
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for GWRE & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>