ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HDB // HDFC Bank Limited

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0001144967 ↗
Financials • Commercial Banks
$21.80 ▲ +0.25 (+1.16%)
MKT CAP: $111.86B • VOL: 5.56M
HDB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF -14.1% vs NI -4.7% • ROIC-WACC +11.7% • Z 3.9
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did HDB's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HDB is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HDB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.71%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $22.00H $22.31L $21.96C $22.18VOL 7.44M
RES: $24.07SUP: $20.83SMA50: $22.70SMA200: $25.81
$34.49$30.93$27.37$23.81$20.26RES $24.07SUP $20.83$22.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
HDB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

HDFC Bank Limited (HDB) exhibits 41.0% gross margins and 20.7% return on invested capital within Financials (Commercial Banks), balanced against a 12.1x enterprise multiple and 7.1% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.0% gross profitability converts into 36.9% operating margin and 20.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 20.7% // GM: 41.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -3.2% paired with 10.15% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -3.2% // FCF YLD: 10.15%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.90 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.90 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 14.9x trailing P/E (13.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 14.9x // EV/EBITDA: 12.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±7.1% implied move with a 0.66 put/call ratio around $21.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±7.1% // P/C: 0.66
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Commercial Banks require continuous execution to defend 30.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 30.3% // D/E: 0.39x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 13.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.06).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 14.9x
FORWARD P/E 13.9x
EV / EBITDA 12.1x
FCF YIELD 10.15%
GROSS MARGIN 41.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 36.9%
NET MARGIN 30.3%
ROIC % 20.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -3.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.46
DEBT / EQUITY 0.39x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.09%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 47.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.06
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HDBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $19.95
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HDB & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>