ROARABLE // PRO
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ROAR ▸

RSG // Republic Services Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0001060391 ↗
Utilities • Environmental Services
$236.28 ▲ +2.88 (+1.23%)
MKT CAP: $72.35B • VOL: 1.51M
RSG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +15.8% vs NI +4.7% • ROIC-WACC +6.8% • Z 3.84
02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)
Insider Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did RSG's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever RSG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

RSG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.64%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $248.0H $249.4L $240.4C $244.0VOL 2.40M
RES: $245.4SUP: $206.6SMA50: $222.4SMA200: $216.8
$253.1$237.7$222.4$207.0$191.6RES $245.4SUP $206.6$244.02026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
RSG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Republic Services Inc. (RSG) exhibits 42.0% gross margins and 13.9% return on invested capital within Utilities (Environmental Services), balanced against a 16.1x enterprise multiple and 5.7% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 42.0% gross profitability converts into 19.9% operating margin and 13.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.9% // GM: 42.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.5% paired with 3.33% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.5% // FCF YLD: 3.33%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.84 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.84 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 33.8x trailing P/E (31.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 33.8x // EV/EBITDA: 16.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.7% implied move with a 0.82 put/call ratio around $232.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.7% // P/C: 0.82
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Environmental Services require continuous execution to defend 12.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 12.9% // D/E: 0.58x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 31.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.66).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 33.8x
FORWARD P/E 31.4x
EV / EBITDA 16.1x
FCF YIELD 3.33%
GROSS MARGIN 42.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 19.9%
NET MARGIN 12.9%
ROIC % 13.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.99
DEBT / EQUITY 0.58x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.02%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 69.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.66
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RSGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $216.20
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for RSG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>