PR // Permian Resources Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0001658566 ↗

Energy • Oil & Gas Production

$25.57 ▲ +0.05 (+0.20%)

MKT CAP: $21.42B • VOL: 6.44M

52W L $12 52W H $26

ALTMAN Z

2.66 GREY

PIOTROSKI

6 / 9

PR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE

PRIOR: RQD 66/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED AS OF 2026-11-01

ROARABLE C+

RQD CONFIDENCE

66 / 100 +0D

5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS

E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+

Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout

01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL

Forensic Fundamentals

14 / 20

SOLID

FCF +6% vs NI -12.1% • ROIC-WACC -0.1% • Z 2.66

02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F

Whale & Options Flow

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)

Insider Conviction

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX

Macro Regime Fit

17 / 20

STRONG

TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00

05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT

Forensic 10-K Risk

13 / 20

SOLID

20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE

ALERT

Why did PR's Whale & Options Flow & Insider Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever PR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SIG <GO> CROSS-FEED TRIANGULATION // PROPRIETARY ANOMALY ENGINE (1 ACTIVE ON PR)

STAGE 2 DETERMINISTIC Z-SCORE + STAGE 3 GEEK DESK BRIEF ALL MARKET ANOMALIES <SIG>

▼ BEARISH // F-RATED EARNINGS MIRAGE // ACCRUAL WATCHSIFTER 02 // ACCRUAL & RECEIVABLES FORENSICS

SEVERITY: 80/100 Z-SCORE: +2.13σ

PR Accounting Gap: Net Income (-12.1%) Outpaced OCF (+5.7%) With +79.1% Working-Capital Build

CASH CONVERSION GAP

-17.9% (NI vs OCF)

RECEIVABLES / WC BLOAT

+79.1% VS REV

60D C-SUITE FORM 4 SALES

0 OPEN-MKT DUMPS

[GEEK DESK FORENSIC NOTE // SEC XBRL × FORM 4 CROSS-CHECK]

SEC EDGAR XBRL CompanyFacts10-K/10-Q Working Capital ScheduleSEC Form 4 Executive Sales

SEC EDGAR XBRL triangulation on Permian Resources Corporation (PR) exposes a +-17.9% Cash Conversion Gap as YoY Net Income growth (-12.1%) diverged from Operating Cash Flow growth (+5.7%). Non-cash current assets and receivables expanded +79.1% relative to top-line revenue growth. Monitor upcoming 10-Q cash realization closely for accrual mean-reversion.

PR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.35%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $25.89H $26.07L $25.69C $26.02VOL 6.07M

RES: $26.11SUP: $21.47SMA50: $23.41SMA200: $20.40

PR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE

UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100

BEAR 0

100 BULL

Permian Resources Corporation (PR) exhibits 41.0% gross margins and 8.5% return on invested capital within Energy (Oil & Gas Production), balanced against a 15.0x enterprise multiple and 6.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)

01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 41.0% gross profitability converts into 28.9% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.5% // GM: 41.0%

02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.3% paired with 15.78% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.3% // FCF YLD: 15.78%

03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.66 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.66 // F-SCORE: 6/9

▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)

01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 185.0x trailing P/E (140.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 185.0x // EV/EBITDA: 15.0x

02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.8% implied move with a 0.84 put/call ratio around $25.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.8% // P/C: 0.84

03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Oil & Gas Production require continuous execution to defend 0.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.0% // D/E: 0.34x

KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 140.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.

MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.96).

FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>

FILER	SIDE	$ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>

UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>

STRIKE / EXP	TYPE	PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>

KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>

TRAILING P/E 185.0x

FORWARD P/E 140.0x

EV / EBITDA 15.0x

FCF YIELD 15.78%

GROSS MARGIN 41.0%

OPERATING MARGIN 28.9%

NET MARGIN 0.0%

ROIC % 8.5%

REV GROWTH YOY +1.3%

DILUTED EPS TTM $0.00

DEBT / EQUITY 0.34x

DIVIDEND YIELD 2.09%

RSI-14 MOMENTUM 70.2

5Y EQUITY BETA 0.96

FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>

MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.

FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE

01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO

02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE

HEADLINE STRESS SCORE

75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE

PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE

DFII10 // -0.61 r

Latest: 2.08%

EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE

-8.50%

Implied Px: $23.40

EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE

-$4,248

On $50,000 Notional

[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>

PR VS XOM

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

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MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

PR VS SHEL

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

PR VS BHP

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION