COMP <GO>
UPS vs CAT // FORWARD P/E MULTIPLE
United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE) VS. Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: UPS 9
— CAT 6
▲ FORWARD P/E MULTIPLE LEADER: UPS
LAST: $108.25 (+0.86%) • MKT CAP: $91.31B
forward-pe
15.3x
LAST: $622.75 (-3.81%) • MKT CAP: $286.26B
forward-pe
26.0x
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (UPS VS. CAT)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | UPS | CAT | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 82.20% | -41.20 | CAT | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 24.80% | 21.15% | +3.65 | UPS | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 9.1x | 20.9x | -11.76 | UPS | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 5.22% | 3.74% | +1.48 | UPS | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 8.90% | 17.52% | -8.62 | CAT | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.30% | 14.51% | -8.21 | CAT | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -2.60% | 18.36% | -20.96 | CAT | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 5.91% | 1.05% | +4.86 | UPS | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 3.57 | 4.34 | -0.77 | CAT | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 5/9 | +2.00 | UPS | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | 7.30% | 8.46% | -1.16 | UPS | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 74.8 | 23.6 | +51.17 | UPS | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.12 | 1.02 | +0.10 | UPS | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple ACTIVE | 15.3x | 26.0x | -10.66 | UPS | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $91.31B | $286.26B | -$194.95B | CAT | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | UPS REV | CAT REV | UPS GROSS % | CAT GROSS % | UPS FCF | CAT FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $88.66B | $67.59B | 44.0% | 99.9% | $4.76B | $8.92B |
| FY 2024 | $91.07B | $64.81B | 44.0% | 100.0% | $6.21B | $10.05B |
| FY 2023 | $90.96B | $67.06B | 44.0% | 99.8% | $6.14B | $11.29B |
| FY 2022 | — | $59.43B | — | 99.3% | — | $6.47B |
| FY 2021 | — | $50.97B | — | 30.3% | — | $6.11B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
UPS // BETA 1.12
CAT // BETA 1.02