COMP <GO>
PYPL vs CAT // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ) VS. Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: PYPL 9
— CAT 6
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: PYPL
LAST: $57.01 (+0.11%) • MKT CAP: $47.31B
options-implied-move
6.70%
LAST: $622.75 (-3.81%) • MKT CAP: $286.26B
options-implied-move
8.46%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (PYPL VS. CAT)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | PYPL | CAT | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 82.20% | -41.20 | CAT | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 21.60% | 21.15% | +0.45 | PYPL | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 7.3x | 20.9x | -13.56 | PYPL | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 11.76% | 3.74% | +8.02 | PYPL | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 18.30% | 17.52% | +0.78 | PYPL | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 15.80% | 14.51% | +1.29 | PYPL | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 4.30% | 18.36% | -14.06 | CAT | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.27% | 1.05% | -0.78 | CAT | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 1.90 | 4.34 | -2.44 | CAT | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 9/9 | 5/9 | +4.00 | PYPL | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 6.70% | 8.46% | -1.76 | PYPL | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 57.0 | 23.6 | +33.36 | PYPL | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.93 | 1.02 | -0.09 | CAT | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 8.4x | 26.0x | -17.56 | PYPL | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $47.31B | $286.26B | -$238.96B | CAT | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | PYPL REV | CAT REV | PYPL GROSS % | CAT GROSS % | PYPL FCF | CAT FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $33.17B | $67.59B | 44.0% | 99.9% | $5.56B | $8.92B |
| FY 2024 | $31.80B | $64.81B | 44.0% | 100.0% | $6.77B | $10.05B |
| FY 2023 | $29.77B | $67.06B | 44.0% | 99.8% | $3.50B | $11.29B |
| FY 2022 | — | $59.43B | — | 99.3% | — | $6.47B |
| FY 2021 | — | $50.97B | — | 30.3% | — | $6.11B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
PYPL // BETA 0.93
CAT // BETA 1.02