COMP <GO>
ONTO vs UNP // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ONTO 5
— UNP 10
▲ OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW LEADER: UNP
LAST: $201.57 (-9.16%) • MKT CAP: $10.89B
options-implied-move
7.20%
LAST: $304.00 (+0.69%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
options-implied-move
7.00%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ONTO VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ONTO | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 49.70% | 41.00% | +8.70 | ONTO | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 5.60% | 20.10% | -14.50 | UNP | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 67.8x | 15.3x | +52.50 | UNP | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 2.75% | 3.06% | -0.31 | UNP | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 13.20% | 40.20% | -27.00 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.00% | 29.10% | -29.10 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 1.80% | 1.10% | +0.70 | ONTO | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 1.80% | -1.80 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 26.00 | 4.31 | +21.69 | ONTO | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 6/9 | +1.00 | ONTO | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 7.20% | 7.00% | +0.20 | UNP | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 33.3 | 70.0 | -36.73 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.10 | 1.03 | +0.07 | ONTO | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 140.0x | 23.3x | +116.70 | UNP | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $10.89B | $179.42B | -$168.53B | UNP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ONTO REV | UNP REV | ONTO GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | ONTO FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1.01B | $24.51B | 49.7% | 44.0% | $299.8M | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $987.3M | $24.25B | 52.2% | 44.0% | $213.8M | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $815.9M | $24.12B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $135.3M | $7.29B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ONTO // BETA 1.10
UNP // BETA 1.03