COMP <GO>
MPC vs BHP // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE) VS. BHP Group Limited American (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: MPC 8
— BHP 6
▲ 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA LEADER: MPC
LAST: $444.73 (+2.83%) • MKT CAP: $121.46B
macro-sensitivity
1.16
LAST: $79.16 (-3.25%) • MKT CAP: $207.99B
macro-sensitivity
1.14
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (MPC VS. BHP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | MPC | BHP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 10.00% | 41.00% | -31.00 | BHP | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 16.90% | 9.90% | +7.00 | MPC | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 12.7x | 21.0x | -8.30 | MPC | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 3.92% | 2.21% | +1.71 | MPC | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 6.20% | 13.90% | -7.70 | BHP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 3.00% | 10.90% | -7.90 | BHP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -4.40% | -3.30% | -1.10 | BHP | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.94% | 0.00% | +0.94 | MPC | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 3.86 | 3.74 | +0.12 | MPC | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 7/9 | -1.00 | BHP | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | 7.40% | 7.40% | 0.00 | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 51.4 | 37.5 | +13.91 | MPC | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | 1.16 | 1.14 | +0.02 | MPC | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 27.9x | 30.5x | -2.60 | MPC | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $121.46B | $207.99B | -$86.53B | BHP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | MPC REV | BHP REV | MPC GROSS % | BHP GROSS % | MPC FCF | BHP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $132.70B | — | 10.0% | — | $4.77B | — |
| FY 2024 | $138.86B | — | 9.1% | — | $6.13B | — |
| FY 2023 | $148.38B | — | 44.0% | — | $7.44B | — |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
MPC // BETA 1.16
BHP // BETA 1.14