COMP <GO>
ALK vs MA // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Alaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE) VS. Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ALK 4
— MA 9
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $35.71 (-1.22%) • MKT CAP: $4.03B
options-implied-move
6.60%
LAST: $638.01 (+0.36%) • MKT CAP: $556.88B
options-implied-move
6.60%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ALK VS. MA)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ALK | MA | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 41.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 2.90% | 33.50% | -30.60 | MA | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 9.6x | 29.2x | -19.60 | ALK | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 15.08% | 3.08% | +12.00 | ALK | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 2.10% | 57.60% | -55.50 | MA | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.70% | 45.60% | -44.90 | MA | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 21.30% | 16.40% | +4.90 | ALK | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.49% | -0.49 | MA | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 1.15 | 11.17 | -10.02 | MA | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 8/9 | -2.00 | MA | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | 6.60% | 6.60% | 0.00 | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 43.0 | 70.6 | -27.67 | MA | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.92 | 0.90 | +0.02 | ALK | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 33.9x | 31.2x | +2.70 | MA | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $4.03B | $556.88B | -$552.85B | MA | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ALK REV | MA REV | ALK GROSS % | MA GROSS % | ALK FCF | MA FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $14.24B | $32.79B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $608.2M | $17.16B |
| FY 2024 | $11.73B | $28.17B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $935.9M | $14.31B |
| FY 2023 | $10.43B | $25.10B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $580.8M | $10.85B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ALK // BETA 0.92
MA // BETA 0.90