COMP <GO>
AA vs UNP // DIVIDEND YIELD & FCF PAYOUT SAFETY
Alcoa Corporation Common Stock (NYSE) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: AA 6
— UNP 8
▲ DIVIDEND YIELD & FCF PAYOUT SAFETY LEADER: UNP
LAST: $39.19 (-1.75%) • MKT CAP: $10.53B
dividend-safety
0.99%
LAST: $304.00 (+0.69%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
dividend-safety
1.80%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (AA VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | AA | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 41.00% | 41.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 15.90% | 20.10% | -4.20 | UNP | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 5.9x | 15.3x | -9.40 | AA | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 5.39% | 3.06% | +2.33 | AA | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 11.00% | 40.20% | -29.20 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.00% | 29.10% | -20.10 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 7.90% | 1.10% | +6.80 | AA | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety ACTIVE | 0.99% | 1.80% | -0.81 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 1.82 | 4.31 | -2.49 | UNP | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 9/9 | 6/9 | +3.00 | AA | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | 6.80% | 7.00% | -0.20 | AA | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 37.4 | 70.0 | -32.64 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.96 | 1.03 | -0.07 | UNP | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 8.5x | 23.3x | -14.80 | AA | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $10.53B | $179.42B | -$168.89B | UNP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | AA REV | UNP REV | AA GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | AA FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $12.83B | $24.51B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $567.0M | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $11.89B | $24.25B | 44.0% | 44.0% | $42.0M | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $10.55B | $24.12B | 44.0% | 44.0% | -$383.8M | $7.29B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
AA // BETA 0.96
UNP // BETA 1.03