RBC // RBC Bearings Incorporated

DES <GO> NYSE CIK 0001324948 ↗

Industrials • Metal Fabrications

$495.74 ▲ +11.17 (+2.31%)

MKT CAP: $15.69B • VOL: 290.0K

52W L $416 52W H $668

ALTMAN Z

6.22 SAFE

PIOTROSKI

9 / 9

RBC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE

PRIOR: RQD 69/100 [C+] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED AS OF 2026-11-01

ROARABLE C+

RQD CONFIDENCE

68 / 100 -1D

5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS

E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+

Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout

01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL

Forensic Fundamentals

16 / 20

STRONG

FCF +50.7% vs NI +16.8% • ROIC-WACC +0.1% • Z 6.22

02 OPRA GEX + SEC 13F

Whale & Options Flow

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

03 SEC FORM 4 (90D)

Insider Conviction

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL

04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX

Macro Regime Fit

17 / 20

STRONG

TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00

05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT

Forensic 10-K Risk

13 / 20

SOLID

20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE

ALERT

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SIG <GO> CROSS-FEED TRIANGULATION // PROPRIETARY ANOMALY ENGINE (1 ACTIVE ON RBC)

STAGE 2 DETERMINISTIC Z-SCORE + STAGE 3 GEEK DESK BRIEF ALL MARKET ANOMALIES <SIG>

▼ BEARISH // F-RATED EARNINGS MIRAGE // ACCRUAL WATCHSIFTER 02 // ACCRUAL & RECEIVABLES FORENSICS

SEVERITY: 88/100 Z-SCORE: +2.92σ

RBC Accounting Gap: Net Income (+16.8%) Outpaced OCF (+41.6%) With +112.8% Working-Capital Build

CASH CONVERSION GAP

-24.8% (NI vs OCF)

RECEIVABLES / WC BLOAT

+112.8% VS REV

60D C-SUITE FORM 4 SALES

0 OPEN-MKT DUMPS

[GEEK DESK FORENSIC NOTE // SEC XBRL × FORM 4 CROSS-CHECK]

SEC EDGAR XBRL CompanyFacts10-K/10-Q Working Capital ScheduleSEC Form 4 Executive Sales

SEC EDGAR XBRL triangulation on RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) exposes a +-24.8% Cash Conversion Gap as YoY Net Income growth (+16.8%) diverged from Operating Cash Flow growth (+41.6%). Non-cash current assets and receivables expanded +112.8% relative to top-line revenue growth. Monitor upcoming 10-Q cash realization closely for accrual mean-reversion.

RBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $478.5H $487.6L $457.9C $462.2VOL 558.8K

RES: $489.9SUP: $437.9SMA50: $495.9SMA200: $552.2

RBC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE

NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 45/100

BEAR 0

100 BULL

RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) exhibits 44.4% gross margins and 8.6% return on invested capital within Industrials (Metal Fabrications), balanced against a 33.1x enterprise multiple and 6.5% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)

01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 44.4% gross profitability converts into 22.5% operating margin and 8.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.6% // GM: 44.4%

02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +14.3% paired with 2.11% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +14.3% // FCF YLD: 2.11%

03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.22 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.22 // F-SCORE: 9/9

▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)

01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 54.6x trailing P/E (45.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 54.6x // EV/EBITDA: 33.1x

02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±6.5% implied move with a 0.67 put/call ratio around $486.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±6.5% // P/C: 0.67

03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Metal Fabrications require continuous execution to defend 15.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 15.4% // D/E: 0.22x

KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 45.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.

MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.87).

FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>

FILER	SIDE	$ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>

UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>

STRIKE / EXP	TYPE	PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>

KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>

TRAILING P/E 54.6x

FORWARD P/E 45.9x

EV / EBITDA 33.1x

FCF YIELD 2.11%

GROSS MARGIN 44.4%

OPERATING MARGIN 22.5%

NET MARGIN 15.4%

ROIC % 8.6%

REV GROWTH YOY +14.3%

DILUTED EPS TTM $9.08

DEBT / EQUITY 0.22x

DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%

RSI-14 MOMENTUM 36.5

5Y EQUITY BETA 0.87

FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>

MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.

FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // RBCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE

01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO

02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE

HEADLINE STRESS SCORE

75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE

PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE

DFII10 // -0.61 r

Latest: 2.08%

EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE

-8.50%

Implied Px: $453.62

EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE

-$4,248

On $50,000 Notional

[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for RBC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>

RBC VS BRK-A

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

RBC VS CAT

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

RBC VS RTX

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

RBC VS TMO

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION