Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) exhibits 22.4% gross margins and 1.8% return on invested capital within Energy (Coal Mining), balanced against a 46.5x enterprise multiple and 7.0% implied options volatility.
Sustained 22.4% gross profitability converts into 3.6% operating margin and 1.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.
ROIC: 1.8% // GM: 22.4%YoY revenue trajectory of +14.3% paired with 3.81% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.
REV YOY: +14.3% // FCF YLD: 3.81%Altman Z-Score of 5.92 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.
ALTMAN Z: 5.92 // F-SCORE: 7/9Trading at 79.3x trailing P/E (66.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.
P/E: 79.3x // EV/EBITDA: 46.5xOptions market prices a ±7.0% implied move with a 0.80 put/call ratio around $84.00 max pain.
IMPL MOVE: ±7.0% // P/C: 0.80Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Coal Mining require continuous execution to defend 4.5% net margins.
NET MARGIN: 4.5% // D/E: 0.07x| FILER | SIDE | $ VALUE |
|---|---|---|
| INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO> | ||
| STRIKE / EXP | TYPE | PREMIUM |
|---|---|---|
| INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO> | ||
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