CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) exhibits 38.5% gross margins and 28.6% return on invested capital within Materials (Agricultural Chemicals), balanced against a 6.2x enterprise multiple and 6.5% implied options volatility.
Sustained 38.5% gross profitability converts into 32.5% operating margin and 28.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.
ROIC: 28.6% // GM: 38.5%YoY revenue trajectory of +19.3% paired with 10.08% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.
REV YOY: +19.3% // FCF YLD: 10.08%Altman Z-Score of 3.19 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.
ALTMAN Z: 3.19 // F-SCORE: 8/9Trading at 10.0x trailing P/E (8.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.
P/E: 10.0x // EV/EBITDA: 6.2xOptions market prices a ±6.5% implied move with a 0.96 put/call ratio around $116.00 max pain.
IMPL MOVE: ±6.5% // P/C: 0.96Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Agricultural Chemicals require continuous execution to defend 25.3% net margins.
NET MARGIN: 25.3% // D/E: 0.66x| FILER | SIDE | $ VALUE |
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| INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO> | ||
| STRIKE / EXP | TYPE | PREMIUM |
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| INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO> | ||
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