ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BLKB // Blackbaud Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001280058 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$52.71 ▲ +0.20 (+0.38%)
MKT CAP: $2.37B • VOL: 510.0K
BLKB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 51/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
51 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -10.7% vs NI +140.6% • ROIC-WACC +7.1% • Z 1.23
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +10.9% • P/E 19.2x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did BLKB's Forensic 10-K Risk & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever BLKB is Upgraded or Downgraded.

BLKB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +41.81%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $53.19H $54.01L $52.71C $52.71VOL 402.8K
RES: $57.66SUP: $39.04SMA50: $47.19SMA200: $41.26
$58.86$49.84$40.82$31.80$22.78RES $57.66SUP $39.04$52.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
BLKB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) exhibits 58.8% gross margins and 13.3% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 17.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 58.8% gross profitability converts into 16.9% operating margin and 13.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.3% // GM: 58.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.3% paired with 10.87% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.3% // FCF YLD: 10.87%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.23 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.23 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 20.6x trailing P/E (19.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 20.6x // EV/EBITDA: 17.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $52.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend 10.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.2% // D/E: 8.50x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 20.6x
FORWARD P/E 19.2x
EV / EBITDA 17.3x
FCF YIELD 10.87%
GROSS MARGIN 58.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 16.9%
NET MARGIN 10.2%
ROIC % 13.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.56
DEBT / EQUITY 8.50x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 65.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BLKBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $48.23
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for BLKB & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>