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Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$52.71 +0.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.65

Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.37B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.65 (-0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 22.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BLKB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BLKB SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.8% FCF Margin ($257.8M FCF) & 58.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$45.48+13.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$51.65+7.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$55.54-5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$52.71-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BLKB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BLKB currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.19) and Max Pain ($55.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $68.08.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BLKB• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BLKB Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

65.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.23>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE69% OF RANGE

L: $26$52.71H: $65

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BLKB

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

13.3% ROIC with 58.8% gross margin and 10.87% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.23 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BLKB

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BLKB)

✓Walkthrough of BLKB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BLKB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +41.81%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $53.19H $54.01L $52.71C $52.71VOL 402.8K

RES: $57.66SUP: $39.04SMA50: $47.19SMA200: $41.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BLKB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BLKB Butterfly Map → + Track BLKB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLKB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLKB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BLKB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BLKB)

Technology Rank #387 of 714 ⚔️ NCNO vs BLKB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BLKB vs. NCNO, VERX, KC, ASAN)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) ranks #387 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #278 by equity capitalization ($2.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLKB leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while BLKB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.3% ROIC and 58.8% gross margin. NCNO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with BLKB at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BLKB ACTIVE Blackbaud Inc.	D	51/100	20.6x	58.8%	13.3%	+0.38%	$2.37B	Benchmark Subject
NCNO nCino Inc.	D+	58/100	—	60.6%	0.2%	-0.97%	$2.37B	/ncno-vs-blkb →
VERX Vertex Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	64.3%	0.7%	+0.34%	$2.41B	/verx-vs-blkb →
KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited	D	45/100	—	15.7%	-9.7%	-5.56%	$2.44B	/kc-vs-blkb →
ASAN Asana Inc. (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	89.0%	-35.0%	-4.17%	$2.58B	/asan-vs-blkb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001280058

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) reported GAAP revenue of $1.13B (-2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.15B , and +1.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $115.0M, operating cash flow of $265.6M, and free cash flow of $257.8M (-10.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLKB closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.23, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.13B	$115.0M	$265.6M	$257.8M	$2.39B	$1.09B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.15B	-$283.2M	$296.0M	$288.5M	$2.50B	$1.05B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.11B	$1.8M	$199.6M	$199.6M	—	—

3. BLKB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BLKB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Blackbaud Inc. (NASDAQ: BLKB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $52.71 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $2.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BLKB ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BLKB compare to NCNO and VERX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BLKB carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of 58.8%, and ROIC of 13.3%. By comparison, NCNO (nCino Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $2.37B) and VERX (Vertex Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLKB leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while BLKB leads on capital efficiency (13.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLKB?

Per BLKB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001280058), Blackbaud Inc. generated $1.13B in revenue (-2.3% YoY), $115.0M in net income, and $257.8M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BLKB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLKB last traded at $52.71 (+0.38% on volume of 510,008 shares), positioning the stock +11.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.19) and +27.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.26). Across its 52-week range of $25.58 to $64.84, BLKB sits at the 69.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($47.86 to $57.56).

BLKB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BLKB stock right now?

Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BLKB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BLKB's 12-month base price target is $51.05 (range $39.82 to $68.08), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BLKB RQD Cockpit BLKB 12M Forecast BLKB Earnings & Move BLKB Dividends & DRIP BLKB Insiders & 13F BLKB Whale Options BLKB Profit Sankey BLKB News & Why