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Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.10 -1.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.01

Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.14B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.01 (-0.54%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMPL SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.2% FCF Margin ($28.2M FCF) & 74% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$15.67-5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$14.75+18.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$17.42-1.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$17.10-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMPL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AMPL currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.47) and Max Pain ($17.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMPL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMPL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

66.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE94% OF RANGE

L: $6$17.10H: $18

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (74% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AMPL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

-35.0% ROIC with 74.0% gross margin and 1.32% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (47)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AMPL

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMPL)

✓Walkthrough of AMPL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +140.51%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $17.03H $17.25L $16.48C $17.10VOL 1.97M

RES: $17.99SUP: $15.35SMA50: $14.47SMA200: $9.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMPL Butterfly Map → + Track AMPL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMPL)

Technology Rank #396 of 714 ⚔️ SOUN vs AMPL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AMPL vs. SOUN, KARO, BL, AI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) ranks #396 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #284 by equity capitalization ($2.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BL leads on earnings valuation at 79.9x trailing P/E, while BL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.6% ROIC and 75.2% gross margin. KARO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with AMPL at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMPL ACTIVE Amplitude Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	74.0%	-35.0%	-1.95%	$2.14B	Benchmark Subject
SOUN SoundHound AI Inc	D-	36/100	—	83.4%	-5.9%	-1.80%	$2.10B	/soun-vs-ampl →
KARO Karooooo Ltd.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.93%	$2.06B	/karo-vs-ampl →
BL BlackLine Inc.	D+	55/100	79.9x	75.2%	20.6%	-0.24%	$1.96B	/bl-vs-ampl →
AI C3.ai Inc.	D-	39/100	—	30.9%	-35.0%	-1.30%	$1.96B	/ai-vs-ampl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001866692

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) reported GAAP revenue of $343.2M (+14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $299.3M , and +24.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$88.5M, operating cash flow of $29.8M, and free cash flow of $28.2M (+68.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMPL closed FY2025 with $420.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$343.2M	-$88.5M	$29.8M	$28.2M	$420.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$299.3M	-$94.3M	$18.5M	$16.8M	$445.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$276.3M	-$90.4M	$25.6M	$25.6M	—	—

3. AMPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: AMPL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $17.10 (-1.95% 1D, market cap $2.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AMPL ranks #396 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMPL compare to SOUN and KARO in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), AMPL carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SOUN (SoundHound AI Inc) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $2.10B) and KARO (Karooooo Ltd.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BL leads on earnings multiple (79.9x) while BL leads on capital efficiency (20.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPL?

Per AMPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001866692), Amplitude Inc. (Class A) generated $343.2M in revenue (+14.7% YoY), -$88.5M in net income, and $28.2M in free cash flow against $420.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMPL last traded at $17.10 (-1.95% on volume of 1,729,628 shares), positioning the stock +18.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.47) and +77.94% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.61). Across its 52-week range of $5.51 to $17.84, AMPL sits at the 94.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($15.44 to $18.76).

AMPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AMPL stock right now?

Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AMPL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AMPL's 12-month base price target is $16.48 (range $12.85 to $19.45), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMPL RQD Cockpit AMPL 12M Forecast AMPL Earnings & Move AMPL Dividends & DRIP AMPL Insiders & 13F AMPL Whale Options AMPL Profit Sankey AMPL News & Why