Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.7% Move

$17.10 -1.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.14B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
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Cash
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Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$19 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.7% Swing Band

±$1.66 Expected Swing
$15.44 (-9.7%)Spot $17.10$18.76 (+9.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AMPL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.7%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$343.2M-$88.5M$28.2M74%
FY 20242024-12-31$299.3M-$94.3M$16.8M74.3%
FY 20232023-12-31$276.3M-$90.4M$25.6M74%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMPL)

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AMPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +140.51%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $17.03H $17.25L $16.48C $17.10VOL 1.97M
RES: $17.99SUP: $15.35SMA50: $14.47SMA200: $9.61
$18.69$15.16$11.62$8.08$4.54RES $17.99SUP $15.35$17.102026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMPL)

Technology Rank #396 of 714 ⚔️ SOUN vs AMPL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AMPL vs. SOUN, KARO, BL, AI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) ranks #396 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #284 by equity capitalization ($2.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BL leads on earnings valuation at 79.9x trailing P/E, while BL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.6% ROIC and 75.2% gross margin. KARO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with AMPL at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMPL ACTIVE
Amplitude Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — 74.0% -35.0% -1.95% $2.14B Benchmark Subject
SOUN
SoundHound AI Inc
D- 36/100 — 83.4% -5.9% -1.80% $2.10B /soun-vs-ampl →
KARO
Karooooo Ltd.
C- 61/100 — — — +1.93% $2.06B /karo-vs-ampl →
BL
BlackLine Inc.
D+ 55/100 79.9x 75.2% 20.6% -0.24% $1.96B /bl-vs-ampl →
AI
C3.ai Inc.
D- 39/100 — 30.9% -35.0% -1.30% $1.96B /ai-vs-ampl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001866692

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL) reported GAAP revenue of $343.2M (+14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $299.3M , and +24.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$88.5M, operating cash flow of $29.8M, and free cash flow of $28.2M (+68.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMPL closed FY2025 with $420.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $343.2M -$88.5M $29.8M $28.2M $420.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $299.3M -$94.3M $18.5M $16.8M $445.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $276.3M -$90.4M $25.6M $25.6M — —

3. AMPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: AMPL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $17.10 (-1.95% 1D, market cap $2.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AMPL ranks #396 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMPL compare to SOUN and KARO in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), AMPL carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SOUN (SoundHound AI Inc) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $2.10B) and KARO (Karooooo Ltd.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BL leads on earnings multiple (79.9x) while BL leads on capital efficiency (20.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPL?

Per AMPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001866692), Amplitude Inc. (Class A) generated $343.2M in revenue (+14.7% YoY), -$88.5M in net income, and $28.2M in free cash flow against $420.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMPL last traded at $17.10 (-1.95% on volume of 1,729,628 shares), positioning the stock +18.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.47) and +77.94% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.61). Across its 52-week range of $5.51 to $17.84, AMPL sits at the 94.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($15.44 to $18.76).

AMPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AMPL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Amplitude Inc. (Class A) (AMPL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AMPL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.7% event move for AMPL, spanning a range between $15.44 and $18.76.

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