Stock Ratings / Technology / BLKB / earnings

NCNO (58) VERX (53) KC (45) ASAN (41) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.2% Move

$52.71 +0.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.65

Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.37B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.65 (-0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 22.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BLKB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BLKB SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.8% FCF Margin ($257.8M FCF) & 58.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$45.48+13.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$51.65+7.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$55.54-5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$52.71-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BLKB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BLKB currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.19) and Max Pain ($55.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $68.08.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BLKB• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BLKB Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.2% Swing Band

±$4.85 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BLKB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $2.56 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.3%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.13B	$115.0M	$257.8M	58.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.15B	-$283.2M	$288.5M	54.7%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.11B	$1.8M	$199.6M	58.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BLKB)

✓Walkthrough of BLKB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BLKB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +41.81%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $53.19H $54.01L $52.71C $52.71VOL 402.8K

RES: $57.66SUP: $39.04SMA50: $47.19SMA200: $41.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BLKB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BLKB Butterfly Map → + Track BLKB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLKB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLKB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BLKB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BLKB)

Technology Rank #387 of 714 ⚔️ NCNO vs BLKB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BLKB vs. NCNO, VERX, KC, ASAN)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) ranks #387 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #278 by equity capitalization ($2.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLKB leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while BLKB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.3% ROIC and 58.8% gross margin. NCNO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with BLKB at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BLKB ACTIVE Blackbaud Inc.	D	51/100	20.6x	58.8%	13.3%	+0.38%	$2.37B	Benchmark Subject
NCNO nCino Inc.	D+	58/100	—	60.6%	0.2%	-0.97%	$2.37B	/ncno-vs-blkb →
VERX Vertex Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	64.3%	0.7%	+0.34%	$2.41B	/verx-vs-blkb →
KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited	D	45/100	—	15.7%	-9.7%	-5.56%	$2.44B	/kc-vs-blkb →
ASAN Asana Inc. (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	89.0%	-35.0%	-4.17%	$2.58B	/asan-vs-blkb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001280058

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB) reported GAAP revenue of $1.13B (-2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.15B , and +1.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $115.0M, operating cash flow of $265.6M, and free cash flow of $257.8M (-10.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLKB closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.23, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.13B	$115.0M	$265.6M	$257.8M	$2.39B	$1.09B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.15B	-$283.2M	$296.0M	$288.5M	$2.50B	$1.05B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.11B	$1.8M	$199.6M	$199.6M	—	—

3. BLKB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BLKB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Blackbaud Inc. (NASDAQ: BLKB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $52.71 (+0.38% 1D, market cap $2.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BLKB ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BLKB compare to NCNO and VERX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BLKB carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of 58.8%, and ROIC of 13.3%. By comparison, NCNO (nCino Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $2.37B) and VERX (Vertex Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLKB leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while BLKB leads on capital efficiency (13.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLKB?

Per BLKB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001280058), Blackbaud Inc. generated $1.13B in revenue (-2.3% YoY), $115.0M in net income, and $257.8M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BLKB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLKB last traded at $52.71 (+0.38% on volume of 510,008 shares), positioning the stock +11.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.19) and +27.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.26). Across its 52-week range of $25.58 to $64.84, BLKB sits at the 69.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($47.86 to $57.56).

BLKB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BLKB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Blackbaud Inc. (BLKB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BLKB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.2% event move for BLKB, spanning a range between $47.86 and $57.56.

Direct Sub-Reports: BLKB RQD Cockpit BLKB 12M Forecast BLKB Earnings & Move BLKB Dividends & DRIP BLKB Insiders & 13F BLKB Whale Options BLKB Profit Sankey BLKB News & Why