ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

XZO // Exzeo Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001873951 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$17.71 ▲ +0.12 (+0.68%)
MKT CAP: $1.60B • VOL: 427.4K
XZO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 67/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +82.6% vs NI +82.6% • ROIC-WACC +76.4% • Z 12.79
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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XZO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.32%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $17.84H $17.90L $17.26C $17.71VOL 268.1K
RES: $22.25SUP: $13.16SMA50: $16.24SMA200: $15.98
$19.70$17.71$15.72$13.73$11.74RES $22.25SUP $13.16$17.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
XZO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Exzeo Group Inc. (XZO) exhibits 60.4% gross margins and 85.0% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 12.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 60.4% gross profitability converts into 48.8% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 85.0% // GM: 60.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +62.0% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +62.0% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 12.79 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 12.79 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 19.3x trailing P/E (16.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 19.3x // EV/EBITDA: 12.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $17.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend 38.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 38.1% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 19.3x
FORWARD P/E 16.2x
EV / EBITDA 12.2x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 60.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 48.8%
NET MARGIN 38.1%
ROIC % 85.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +62.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.92
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 67.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // XZOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $16.21
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for XZO & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>