ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

UTZ // Utz Brands Inc (Class A)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001739566 ↗
Consumer Staples • Packaged Foods
$14.28 ▼ -0.01 (-0.07%)
MKT CAP: $2.06B • VOL: 3.03M
UTZ // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 50/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
50 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +23.7% vs NI -95% • ROIC-WACC -6.3% • Z 1.25
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 64% • VS 200D +3.1% • RSI 53.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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UTZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $14.32H $14.32L $14.24C $14.28VOL 2.73M
RES: $14.40SUP: $14.32SMA50: $14.25SMA200: $10.38
$14.89$12.69$10.49$8.30$6.10RES $14.40SUP $14.32$14.282026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
UTZ // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) exhibits 24.9% gross margins and 1.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Packaged Foods), balanced against a 25.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 24.9% gross profitability converts into 1.4% operating margin and 1.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 1.1% // GM: 24.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.1% paired with 0.46% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.1% // FCF YLD: 0.46%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.25 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.25 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 25.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $14.28 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Packaged Foods require continuous execution to defend 0.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.1% // D/E: 1.15x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 25.8x
FCF YIELD 0.46%
GROSS MARGIN 24.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.4%
NET MARGIN 0.1%
ROIC % 1.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.15x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.08%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // UTZPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $13.07
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>