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Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.28 -0.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.25

Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.06B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.25 (-0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UTZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY UTZ SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.7% FCF Margin ($9.4M FCF) & 24.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$14.30-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$14.29-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$14.28+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D$14.28-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UTZ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While UTZ currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.25) and Max Pain ($14.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UTZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “UTZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

55.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.25>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE99% OF RANGE

L: $7$14.28H: $14

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on UTZ

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

1.1% ROIC with 24.9% gross margin and 0.46% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 1.25 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like UTZ

✓Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UTZ)

✓Walkthrough of UTZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

UTZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $14.32H $14.32L $14.24C $14.28VOL 2.73M

RES: $14.40SUP: $14.32SMA50: $14.25SMA200: $10.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UTZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 UTZ Butterfly Map → + Track UTZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

24.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UTZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UTZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UTZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UTZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #90 of 146 ⚔️ NOMD vs UTZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (UTZ vs. NOMD, MZTI, FRPT, FLO)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) ranks #90 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #55 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLO leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. MZTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with UTZ at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
UTZ ACTIVE Utz Brands Inc (Class A)	D	50/100	—	24.9%	1.1%	-0.07%	$2.06B	Benchmark Subject
NOMD Nomad Foods Limited	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.02%	$1.69B	/nomd-vs-utz →
MZTI The Marzetti Company	B+	76/100	17.8x	23.9%	20.9%	+0.66%	$2.98B	/mzti-vs-utz →
FRPT Freshpet Inc.	C	64/100	22.8x	40.8%	6.4%	+1.63%	$3.18B	/frpt-vs-utz →
FLO Flowers Foods Inc.	B-	70/100	15.6x	—	5.2%	+0.65%	$1.31B	/flo-vs-utz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001739566

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.44B (+2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.41B , and +0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $800.0K, operating cash flow of $112.2M, and free cash flow of $9.4M (+23.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, UTZ closed FY2025 with $2.79B in total assets against $818.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.25, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$1.44B	$800.0K	$112.2M	$9.4M	$2.79B	$818.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$1.41B	$15.9M	$106.2M	$7.6M	$2.72B	$752.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.44B	-$24.9M	$76.6M	$76.6M	—	—

3. UTZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UTZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (NYSE: UTZ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $14.28 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, UTZ ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UTZ compare to NOMD and MZTI in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), UTZ carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.9%, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, NOMD (Nomad Foods Limited) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.69B) and MZTI (The Marzetti Company) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 20.9%, cap $2.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLO leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UTZ?

Per UTZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001739566), Utz Brands Inc (Class A) generated $1.44B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $800.0K in net income, and $9.4M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $818.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UTZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UTZ last traded at $14.28 (-0.07% on volume of 3,030,514 shares), positioning the stock +0.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.25) and +37.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.38). Across its 52-week range of $6.78 to $14.36, UTZ sits at the 98.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($14.02 to $14.54).

UTZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell UTZ stock right now?

Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is UTZ's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

UTZ's 12-month base price target is $13.77 (range $10.74 to $16.25), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: UTZ RQD Cockpit UTZ 12M Forecast UTZ Earnings & Move UTZ Dividends & DRIP UTZ Insiders & 13F UTZ Whale Options UTZ Profit Sankey UTZ News & Why