Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / UTZ / earnings

NOMD (61) MZTI (76) FRPT (64) FLO (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±1.8% Move

$14.28 -0.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.25

Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.06B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.25 (-0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UTZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY UTZ SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.7% FCF Margin ($9.4M FCF) & 24.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$14.30-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$14.29-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$14.28+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D$14.28-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UTZ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While UTZ currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.25) and Max Pain ($14.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UTZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “UTZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±1.8% Swing Band

±$0.26 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

UTZ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.1%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-28	$1.44B	$800.0K	$9.4M	24.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-29	$1.41B	$15.9M	$7.6M	26.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.44B	-$24.9M	$76.6M	24.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UTZ)

✓Walkthrough of UTZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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UTZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $14.32H $14.32L $14.24C $14.28VOL 2.73M

RES: $14.40SUP: $14.32SMA50: $14.25SMA200: $10.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UTZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 UTZ Butterfly Map → + Track UTZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

24.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UTZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UTZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UTZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UTZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #90 of 146 ⚔️ NOMD vs UTZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (UTZ vs. NOMD, MZTI, FRPT, FLO)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) ranks #90 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #55 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLO leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. MZTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with UTZ at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
UTZ ACTIVE Utz Brands Inc (Class A)	D	50/100	—	24.9%	1.1%	-0.07%	$2.06B	Benchmark Subject
NOMD Nomad Foods Limited	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.02%	$1.69B	/nomd-vs-utz →
MZTI The Marzetti Company	B+	76/100	17.8x	23.9%	20.9%	+0.66%	$2.98B	/mzti-vs-utz →
FRPT Freshpet Inc.	C	64/100	22.8x	40.8%	6.4%	+1.63%	$3.18B	/frpt-vs-utz →
FLO Flowers Foods Inc.	B-	70/100	15.6x	—	5.2%	+0.65%	$1.31B	/flo-vs-utz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001739566

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.44B (+2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.41B , and +0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $800.0K, operating cash flow of $112.2M, and free cash flow of $9.4M (+23.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, UTZ closed FY2025 with $2.79B in total assets against $818.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.25, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$1.44B	$800.0K	$112.2M	$9.4M	$2.79B	$818.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$1.41B	$15.9M	$106.2M	$7.6M	$2.72B	$752.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.44B	-$24.9M	$76.6M	$76.6M	—	—

3. UTZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UTZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (NYSE: UTZ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $14.28 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, UTZ ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UTZ compare to NOMD and MZTI in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), UTZ carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.9%, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, NOMD (Nomad Foods Limited) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.69B) and MZTI (The Marzetti Company) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 20.9%, cap $2.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLO leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UTZ?

Per UTZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001739566), Utz Brands Inc (Class A) generated $1.44B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $800.0K in net income, and $9.4M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $818.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UTZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UTZ last traded at $14.28 (-0.07% on volume of 3,030,514 shares), positioning the stock +0.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.25) and +37.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.38). Across its 52-week range of $6.78 to $14.36, UTZ sits at the 98.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($14.02 to $14.54).

UTZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is UTZ's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is UTZ stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±1.8% event move for UTZ, spanning a range between $14.02 and $14.54.

Direct Sub-Reports: UTZ RQD Cockpit UTZ 12M Forecast UTZ Earnings & Move UTZ Dividends & DRIP UTZ Insiders & 13F UTZ Whale Options UTZ Profit Sankey UTZ News & Why