Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$14.28 -0.07% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.25

Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $2.06B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.25 (-0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$16 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE UTZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UTZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY UTZ SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 99% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.7% FCF Margin ($9.4M FCF) & 24.9% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$14.30-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$14.29-0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$14.28+0% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$14.28-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (58) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UTZ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While UTZ currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.25) and Max Pain ($14.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.25.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UTZβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œUTZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±1.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (UTZ)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for UTZ.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UTZ)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of UTZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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UTZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.40%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $14.32H $14.32L $14.24C $14.28VOL 2.73M
RES: $14.40SUP: $14.32SMA50: $14.25SMA200: $10.38
$14.89$12.69$10.49$8.30$6.10RES $14.40SUP $14.32$14.282026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UTZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UTZ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UTZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UTZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UTZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #90 of 146 βš”οΈ NOMD vs UTZ Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (UTZ vs. NOMD, MZTI, FRPT, FLO)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) ranks #90 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #55 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLO leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. MZTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with UTZ at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UTZ ACTIVE
Utz Brands Inc (Class A)
D 50/100 β€” 24.9% 1.1% -0.07% $2.06B Benchmark Subject
NOMD
Nomad Foods Limited
C- 61/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.02% $1.69B /nomd-vs-utz β†’
MZTI
The Marzetti Company
B+ 76/100 17.8x 23.9% 20.9% +0.66% $2.98B /mzti-vs-utz β†’
FRPT
Freshpet Inc.
C 64/100 22.8x 40.8% 6.4% +1.63% $3.18B /frpt-vs-utz β†’
FLO
Flowers Foods Inc.
B- 70/100 15.6x β€” 5.2% +0.65% $1.31B /flo-vs-utz β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-28 β€’ CIK 0001739566

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (UTZ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.44B (+2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.41B , and +0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $800.0K, operating cash flow of $112.2M, and free cash flow of $9.4M (+23.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, UTZ closed FY2025 with $2.79B in total assets against $818.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.25, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $1.44B $800.0K $112.2M $9.4M $2.79B $818.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $1.41B $15.9M $106.2M $7.6M $2.72B $752.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.44B -$24.9M $76.6M $76.6M β€” β€”

3. UTZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UTZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Utz Brands Inc (Class A) (NYSE: UTZ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $14.28 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, UTZ ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UTZ compare to NOMD and MZTI in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), UTZ carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.9%, and ROIC of 1.1%. By comparison, NOMD (Nomad Foods Limited) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $1.69B) and MZTI (The Marzetti Company) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 20.9%, cap $2.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLO leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UTZ?

Per UTZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001739566), Utz Brands Inc (Class A) generated $1.44B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $800.0K in net income, and $9.4M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $818.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UTZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UTZ last traded at $14.28 (-0.07% on volume of 3,030,514 shares), positioning the stock +0.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.25) and +37.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.38). Across its 52-week range of $6.78 to $14.36, UTZ sits at the 98.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±1.8% ($14.02 to $14.54).

UTZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is UTZ's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for UTZ.

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