ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SHOE // Shoe Station Group Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000895447 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores
$15.07 ▲ +0.62 (+4.29%)
MKT CAP: $409.7M • VOL: 1.72M
SHOE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 65/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 53% • VS 200D +1% • RSI 61.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.5% • P/E 7.3x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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SHOE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.63%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $15.09H $15.28L $14.18C $15.07VOL 1.74M
RES: $14.19SUP: $7.00SMA50: $13.49SMA200: $16.36
$20.07$17.39$14.72$12.04$9.37RES $14.19SUP $7.00$15.072026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
SHOE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 42/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) exhibits 36.6% gross margins and 9.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), balanced against a 2.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 36.6% gross profitability converts into 5.9% operating margin and 9.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.2% // GM: 36.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -5.6% paired with 6.49% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -5.6% // FCF YLD: 6.49%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.99 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.99 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 7.8x trailing P/E (7.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 7.8x // EV/EBITDA: 2.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $15.07 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores require continuous execution to defend 4.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 7.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 7.8x
FORWARD P/E 7.3x
EV / EBITDA 2.8x
FCF YIELD 6.49%
GROSS MARGIN 36.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 5.9%
NET MARGIN 4.6%
ROIC % 9.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -5.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.92
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.09%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SHOEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $13.79
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>