Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$15.07 +4.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.16

Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $409.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SHOE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SHOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Shoe Station Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SHOE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $15.07 (+4.29% 1D, market cap $409.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHOE ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SHOE compare to GCO and CTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), SHOE carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of 36.6%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, GCO (Genesco Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $408.6M) and CTRN (Citi Trends Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 77.8x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $404.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHOE leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while DBI leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHOE?
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Per SHOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000895447), Shoe Station Group Inc. generated $1.14B in revenue (-5.6% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $26.6M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.16 (+0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$23 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE SHOE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHOE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SHOE SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.99 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64.9) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$13.22+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$13.52+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$14.06+7.2% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$15.07+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SHOE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, SHOE faces multiple-compression risk if 7.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.48) or 200D SMA ($16.34) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.07) toward Bear Floor ($11.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHOE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SHOE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
64.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.99>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE43% OF RANGE
L: $10$15.07H: $22
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SHOE

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

9.2% ROIC with 36.6% gross margin and 6.49% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 2.99 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SHOE
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SHOE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SHOE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SHOE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.97%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $14.45H $15.07L $14.45C $15.07VOL 1.72M
RES: $14.15SUP: $6.91SMA50: $13.48SMA200: $16.34
$20.03$17.37$14.70$12.04$9.37RES $14.15SUP $6.91$15.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHOE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHOE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHOE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHOE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHOE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #387 of 1011 ⚔️ GCO vs SHOE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SHOE vs. GCO, CTRN, DBI, LE)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) ranks #387 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #608 by equity capitalization ($409.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHOE leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while DBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 43.6% gross margin. GCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SHOE at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SHOE ACTIVE
Shoe Station Group Inc.
D+ 58/100 7.8x 36.6% 9.2% +4.29% $409.7M Benchmark Subject
GCO
Genesco Inc.
C 63/100 31.4x 46.3% 2.9% +1.92% $408.6M /gco-vs-shoe →
CTRN
Citi Trends Inc.
D 51/100 77.8x — 2.6% +6.94% $404.8M /ctrn-vs-shoe →
DBI
Designer Brands Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 — 43.6% 16.4% +7.09% $347.6M /dbi-vs-shoe →
LE
Lands' End Inc.
D+ 53/100 52.6x 48.7% 7.9% +4.03% $289.5M /le-vs-shoe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000895447

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (-5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.3M, operating cash flow of $71.3M, and free cash flow of $26.6M (-61.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHOE closed FY2025 with $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.99, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $1.14B $52.3M $71.3M $26.6M $1.20B —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $1.20B $73.8M $102.6M $69.5M $1.12B —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $1.18B $73.3M $122.8M $122.8M — —

3. SHOE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Shoe Station Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SHOE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $15.07 (+4.29% 1D, market cap $409.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHOE ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SHOE compare to GCO and CTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), SHOE carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of 36.6%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, GCO (Genesco Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $408.6M) and CTRN (Citi Trends Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 77.8x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $404.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHOE leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while DBI leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHOE?

Per SHOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000895447), Shoe Station Group Inc. generated $1.14B in revenue (-5.6% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $26.6M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHOE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHOE last traded at $15.07 (+4.29% on volume of 1,718,597 shares), positioning the stock +11.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.48) and -7.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.34). Across its 52-week range of $10.20 to $21.61, SHOE sits at the 42.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($13.73 to $16.41).

SHOE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SHOE stock right now?

Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SHOE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SHOE's 12-month base price target is $15.07 (range $11.75 to $22.69), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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