Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$48.54 +6.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $404.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$82 Bull$50 Base$39 Bear
📬 FREE CTRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.34>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE32% OF RANGE
L: $35$48.54H: $78
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CTRN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

2.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.18% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.34 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (57)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CTRN
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Priced at 78x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CTRN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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CTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.35%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $48.51H $49.56L $47.28C $48.54VOL 175.6K
SUP: $43.62SMA50: $55.74SMA200: $52.53
$80.84$68.70$56.56$44.42$32.28SUP $43.62$48.542026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTRN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #333 of 1011 ⚔️ GCO vs CTRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CTRN vs. GCO, SHOE, DBI, LE)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) ranks #333 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #612 by equity capitalization ($404.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHOE leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while DBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 43.6% gross margin. LE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CTRN at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CTRN ACTIVE
Citi Trends Inc.
C 63/100 77.8x — 2.6% +6.94% $404.8M Benchmark Subject
GCO
Genesco Inc.
D+ 56/100 31.4x 46.3% 2.9% +1.92% $408.6M /gco-vs-ctrn →
SHOE
Shoe Station Group Inc.
C 65/100 7.8x 36.6% 9.2% +4.29% $409.7M /shoe-vs-ctrn →
DBI
Designer Brands Inc. (Class A)
C 62/100 — 43.6% 16.4% +7.09% $347.6M /dbi-vs-ctrn →
LE
Lands' End Inc.
C+ 68/100 52.6x 48.7% 7.9% +4.03% $289.5M /le-vs-ctrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001318484

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $820.0M (+8.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $753.1M , and +9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.2M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $21.0M (+644.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTRN closed FY2025 with $471.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $820.0M $5.2M $21.0M $21.0M $471.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $753.1M -$43.2M -$3.8M -$3.8M $462.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $747.9M -$12.0M -$9.6M -$9.6M — —

3. CTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Citi Trends Inc. (NASDAQ: CTRN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $48.54 (+6.94% 1D, market cap $404.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CTRN ranks #333 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CTRN compare to GCO and SHOE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), CTRN carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 77.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, GCO (Genesco Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $408.6M) and SHOE (Shoe Station Group Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 7.8x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $409.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHOE leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while DBI leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTRN?

Per CTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001318484), Citi Trends Inc. generated $820.0M in revenue (+8.9% YoY), $5.2M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $471.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CTRN last traded at $48.54 (+6.94% on volume of 311,444 shares), positioning the stock -12.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($55.74) and -7.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($52.53). Across its 52-week range of $35.00 to $77.91, CTRN sits at the 31.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($43.69 to $53.39).

CTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CTRN stock right now?

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 78x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CTRN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CTRN's 12-month base price target is $49.63 (range $38.71 to $81.81), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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