MARKET WIRECNBC • 1h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why CTRN Stock surged +6.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$48.54 +6.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $404.8M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CTRN Stock surged +6.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) surged +6.94% to $48.54, trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($35 – $77.91). Solid steady margins (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 78x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($35 – $77.91) with RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10% around $48.54 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $21.0M annual free cash flow.
Live CTRN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 3h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CTRN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CTRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.35%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $48.51H $49.56L $47.28C $48.54VOL 175.6K
SUP: $43.62SMA50: $55.74SMA200: $52.53
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CTRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +8.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTRN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTRN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #333 of 1011
⚔️ GCO vs CTRN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CTRN vs. GCO, SHOE, DBI, LE)
Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) ranks #333 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #612 by equity capitalization ($404.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHOE leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while DBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 43.6% gross margin. LE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CTRN at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRN
ACTIVE
Citi Trends Inc. | C | 63/100 | 77.8x | — | 2.6% | +6.94% | $404.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| GCO Genesco Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 31.4x | 46.3% | 2.9% | +1.92% | $408.6M | /gco-vs-ctrn → |
| SHOE Shoe Station Group Inc. | C | 65/100 | 7.8x | 36.6% | 9.2% | +4.29% | $409.7M | /shoe-vs-ctrn → |
| DBI Designer Brands Inc. (Class A) | C | 62/100 | — | 43.6% | 16.4% | +7.09% | $347.6M | /dbi-vs-ctrn → |
| LE Lands' End Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 52.6x | 48.7% | 7.9% | +4.03% | $289.5M | /le-vs-ctrn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001318484In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) reported GAAP revenue of $820.0M (+8.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $753.1M , and +9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.2M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $21.0M (+644.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTRN closed FY2025 with $471.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $820.0M | $5.2M | $21.0M | $21.0M | $471.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-01 | $753.1M | -$43.2M | -$3.8M | -$3.8M | $462.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-03 | $747.9M | -$12.0M | -$9.6M | -$9.6M | — | — |
3. CTRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CTRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Citi Trends Inc. (NASDAQ: CTRN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $48.54 (+6.94% 1D, market cap $404.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CTRN ranks #333 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CTRN compare to GCO and SHOE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), CTRN carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 77.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, GCO (Genesco Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $408.6M) and SHOE (Shoe Station Group Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 7.8x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $409.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHOE leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while DBI leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTRN?
Per CTRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001318484), Citi Trends Inc. generated $820.0M in revenue (+8.9% YoY), $5.2M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $471.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CTRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CTRN last traded at $48.54 (+6.94% on volume of 311,444 shares), positioning the stock -12.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($55.74) and -7.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($52.53). Across its 52-week range of $35.00 to $77.91, CTRN sits at the 31.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($43.69 to $53.39).
CTRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CTRN stock moving today?
Why CTRN Stock surged +6.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 78x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.