Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SHOE / earnings

GCO (56) CTRN (63) DBI (62) LE (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.9% Move

$15.07 +4.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.16

Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $409.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.16 (+0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHOE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SHOE SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 43% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5.9% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$12.75+7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$13.76+2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$14.13+6.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C$15.07+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SHOE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, SHOE faces multiple-compression risk if 7.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.49) or 200D SMA ($16.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.54) toward Bear Floor ($12.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHOE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SHOE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.9% Swing Band

±$1.34 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SHOE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $1.92 • YoY Revenue Growth: -5.6%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-31	$1.14B	$52.3M	$26.6M	36.6%
FY 2024	2025-02-01	$1.20B	$73.8M	$69.5M	35.6%
FY 2023	2024-02-03	$1.18B	$73.3M	$122.8M	36.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SHOE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SHOE
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SHOE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.63%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $15.09H $15.28L $14.18C $15.07VOL 1.74M

RES: $14.19SUP: $7.00SMA50: $13.49SMA200: $16.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHOE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SHOE Butterfly Map → + Track SHOE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHOE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHOE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHOE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHOE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #289 of 1011 ⚔️ GCO vs SHOE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SHOE vs. GCO, CTRN, DBI, LE)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) ranks #289 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #608 by equity capitalization ($409.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHOE leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while DBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 43.6% gross margin. LE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with SHOE at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SHOE ACTIVE Shoe Station Group Inc.	C	65/100	7.8x	36.6%	9.2%	+4.29%	$409.7M	Benchmark Subject
GCO Genesco Inc.	D+	56/100	31.4x	46.3%	2.9%	+1.92%	$408.6M	/gco-vs-shoe →
CTRN Citi Trends Inc.	C	63/100	77.8x	—	2.6%	+6.94%	$404.8M	/ctrn-vs-shoe →
DBI Designer Brands Inc. (Class A)	C	62/100	—	43.6%	16.4%	+7.09%	$347.6M	/dbi-vs-shoe →
LE Lands' End Inc.	C+	68/100	52.6x	48.7%	7.9%	+4.03%	$289.5M	/le-vs-shoe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000895447

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (-5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.3M, operating cash flow of $71.3M, and free cash flow of $26.6M (-61.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHOE closed FY2025 with $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.99, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$1.14B	$52.3M	$71.3M	$26.6M	$1.20B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$1.20B	$73.8M	$102.6M	$69.5M	$1.12B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$1.18B	$73.3M	$122.8M	$122.8M	—	—

3. SHOE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Shoe Station Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SHOE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $15.07 (+4.29% 1D, market cap $409.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHOE ranks #289 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SHOE compare to GCO and CTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), SHOE carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of 36.6%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, GCO (Genesco Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.4x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $408.6M) and CTRN (Citi Trends Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 77.8x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $404.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHOE leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while DBI leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHOE?

Per SHOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000895447), Shoe Station Group Inc. generated $1.14B in revenue (-5.6% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $26.6M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHOE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHOE last traded at $15.07 (+4.29% on volume of 1,718,597 shares), positioning the stock +11.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.49) and -7.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.36). Across its 52-week range of $10.20 to $21.61, SHOE sits at the 42.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($13.73 to $16.41).

SHOE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SHOE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is SHOE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.9% event move for SHOE, spanning a range between $13.73 and $16.41.

Direct Sub-Reports: SHOE RQD Cockpit SHOE 12M Forecast SHOE Earnings & Move SHOE Dividends & DRIP SHOE Insiders & 13F SHOE Whale Options SHOE Profit Sankey SHOE News & Why