ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

REPX // Riley Exploration Permian Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001001614 ↗
Energy • Oil & Gas Production
$52.10 ▼ -0.01 (-0.02%)
MKT CAP: $1.15B • VOL: 176.3K
REPX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -13.7% vs NI +80.9% • ROIC-WACC +3.4% • Z 2.33
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +18.4% • P/E 6.7x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
19 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did REPX's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever REPX is Upgraded or Downgraded.

REPX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.04%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $52.85H $53.34L $52.10C $52.10VOL 165.9K
RES: $55.52SUP: $32.54SMA50: $43.97SMA200: $36.19
$56.37$48.90$41.43$33.96$26.49RES $55.52SUP $32.54$52.102026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
REPX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 45/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 12.2% return on invested capital within Energy (Oil & Gas Production), balanced against a 10.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 34.0% operating margin and 12.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 12.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -4.4% paired with 18.41% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -4.4% // FCF YLD: 18.41%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.33 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.33 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 7.2x trailing P/E (6.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 7.2x // EV/EBITDA: 10.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $52.10 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Oil & Gas Production require continuous execution to defend 41.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 41.0% // D/E: 0.36x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 6.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 7.2x
FORWARD P/E 6.7x
EV / EBITDA 10.4x
FCF YIELD 18.41%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 34.0%
NET MARGIN 41.0%
ROIC % 12.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -4.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.26
DEBT / EQUITY 0.36x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.89%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 72.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // REPXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $47.67
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for REPX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>