Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$52.10 -0.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.15B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (11)Whales (9)SEC (11)Macro (19)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$64 Bull$54 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE REPX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REPX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
72.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.33>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE92% OF RANGE
L: $24$52.10H: $55
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on REPX

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

12.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 18.41% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 2.33 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (77)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 19/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like REPX
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (REPX Tape Review)

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REPX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.04%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $52.85H $53.34L $52.10C $52.10VOL 165.9K
RES: $55.52SUP: $32.54SMA50: $43.97SMA200: $36.19
$56.37$48.90$41.43$33.96$26.49RES $55.52SUP $32.54$52.102026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REPX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-7.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REPX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REPX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REPX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REPX)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (REPX vs. TBN, BORR, SBR, HPK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #135 by equity capitalization ($1.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REPX leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while REPX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
REPX ACTIVE
Riley Exploration Permian Inc.
C+ 68/100 7.2x — 12.2% -0.02% $1.15B Benchmark Subject
TBN
Tamboran Resources Corporation
D 45/100 — — -10.1% -1.14% $1.10B /tbn-vs-repx →
BORR
Borr Drilling Limited
D+ 53/100 27.8x — 8.9% -7.52% $1.25B /borr-vs-repx →
SBR
Sabine Royalty Trust
D+ 58/100 — — — -0.54% $1.04B /sbr-vs-repx →
HPK
HighPeak Energy Inc.
D 44/100 — — 4.6% -4.83% $1.32B /hpk-vs-repx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001001614

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) reported GAAP revenue of $392.0M (-4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $410.2M , and +4.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $160.8M, operating cash flow of $212.5M, and free cash flow of $212.5M (-13.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, REPX closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $227.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $392.0M $160.8M $212.5M $212.5M $1.17B $227.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $410.2M $88.9M $246.3M $246.3M $993.5M $249.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $375.0M $111.6M $207.2M $207.2M — —

3. REPX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REPX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (NYSE: REPX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $52.10 (-0.02% 1D, market cap $1.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 19/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, REPX ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REPX compare to TBN and BORR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), REPX carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TBN (Tamboran Resources Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.1%, cap $1.10B) and BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.8x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REPX?

Per REPX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001001614), Riley Exploration Permian Inc. generated $392.0M in revenue (-4.4% YoY), $160.8M in net income, and $212.5M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $227.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REPX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REPX last traded at $52.10 (-0.02% on volume of 176,304 shares), positioning the stock +18.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($43.97) and +43.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.19). Across its 52-week range of $24.08 to $54.57, REPX sits at the 91.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($48.19 to $56.01).

REPX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell REPX stock right now?

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 7x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is REPX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

REPX's 12-month base price target is $54.44 (range $42.46 to $64.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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