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Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$52.10 -0.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.15B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REPX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your REPX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $52.10: 191.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $42.46

$8,150

$-1,850 (-18.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $54.44

$10,449

+$449 (+4.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $64.24

$12,330

+$2,330 (+23.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$57	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$60	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$48	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (REPX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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REPX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.04%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $52.85H $53.34L $52.10C $52.10VOL 165.9K

RES: $55.52SUP: $32.54SMA50: $43.97SMA200: $36.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REPX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 REPX Butterfly Map → + Track REPX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-7.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REPX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REPX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REPX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REPX)

Energy Rank #51 of 211 ⚔️ TBN vs REPX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (REPX vs. TBN, BORR, SBR, HPK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #135 by equity capitalization ($1.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REPX leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while REPX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
REPX ACTIVE Riley Exploration Permian Inc.	C+	68/100	7.2x	—	12.2%	-0.02%	$1.15B	Benchmark Subject
TBN Tamboran Resources Corporation	D	45/100	—	—	-10.1%	-1.14%	$1.10B	/tbn-vs-repx →
BORR Borr Drilling Limited	D+	53/100	27.8x	—	8.9%	-7.52%	$1.25B	/borr-vs-repx →
SBR Sabine Royalty Trust	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.54%	$1.04B	/sbr-vs-repx →
HPK HighPeak Energy Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	4.6%	-4.83%	$1.32B	/hpk-vs-repx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001001614

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) reported GAAP revenue of $392.0M (-4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $410.2M , and +4.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $160.8M, operating cash flow of $212.5M, and free cash flow of $212.5M (-13.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, REPX closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $227.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$392.0M	$160.8M	$212.5M	$212.5M	$1.17B	$227.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$410.2M	$88.9M	$246.3M	$246.3M	$993.5M	$249.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$375.0M	$111.6M	$207.2M	$207.2M	—	—

3. REPX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REPX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (NYSE: REPX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $52.10 (-0.02% 1D, market cap $1.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 19/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, REPX ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REPX compare to TBN and BORR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), REPX carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TBN (Tamboran Resources Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.1%, cap $1.10B) and BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.8x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REPX?

Per REPX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001001614), Riley Exploration Permian Inc. generated $392.0M in revenue (-4.4% YoY), $160.8M in net income, and $212.5M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $227.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REPX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REPX last traded at $52.10 (-0.02% on volume of 176,304 shares), positioning the stock +18.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($43.97) and +43.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.19). Across its 52-week range of $24.08 to $54.57, REPX sits at the 91.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($48.19 to $56.01).

REPX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is REPX's 12-month stock price target?

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $54.44 (+4.5% from $52.10), with a bull-case target of $64.24 and a bear-case floor of $42.46.

Is REPX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates REPX C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 68/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: REPX RQD Cockpit REPX 12M Forecast REPX Earnings & Move REPX Dividends & DRIP REPX Insiders & 13F REPX Whale Options REPX Profit Sankey REPX News & Why