Stock Ratings / Energy / REPX / insiders

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Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$52.10 -0.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.00

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.15B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.00 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 54.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REPX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY REPX SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+19/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 92% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 72.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$45.37+7.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$48.68+11.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$54.18-3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$52.10+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the REPX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, REPX faces multiple-compression risk if 7.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($43.97) or 200D SMA ($36.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.44) toward Bear Floor ($42.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $REPX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “REPX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

REPX Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (REPX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on REPX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (REPX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

REPX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.04%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $52.85H $53.34L $52.10C $52.10VOL 165.9K

RES: $55.52SUP: $32.54SMA50: $43.97SMA200: $36.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REPX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 REPX Butterfly Map → + Track REPX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-7.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REPX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REPX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REPX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REPX)

Energy Rank #51 of 211 ⚔️ TBN vs REPX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (REPX vs. TBN, BORR, SBR, HPK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #135 by equity capitalization ($1.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REPX leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while REPX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
REPX ACTIVE Riley Exploration Permian Inc.	C+	68/100	7.2x	—	12.2%	-0.02%	$1.15B	Benchmark Subject
TBN Tamboran Resources Corporation	D	45/100	—	—	-10.1%	-1.14%	$1.10B	/tbn-vs-repx →
BORR Borr Drilling Limited	D+	53/100	27.8x	—	8.9%	-7.52%	$1.25B	/borr-vs-repx →
SBR Sabine Royalty Trust	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.54%	$1.04B	/sbr-vs-repx →
HPK HighPeak Energy Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	4.6%	-4.83%	$1.32B	/hpk-vs-repx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001001614

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) reported GAAP revenue of $392.0M (-4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $410.2M , and +4.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $160.8M, operating cash flow of $212.5M, and free cash flow of $212.5M (-13.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, REPX closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $227.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$392.0M	$160.8M	$212.5M	$212.5M	$1.17B	$227.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$410.2M	$88.9M	$246.3M	$246.3M	$993.5M	$249.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$375.0M	$111.6M	$207.2M	$207.2M	—	—

3. REPX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REPX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (NYSE: REPX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $52.10 (-0.02% 1D, market cap $1.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 19/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, REPX ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REPX compare to TBN and BORR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), REPX carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, TBN (Tamboran Resources Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.1%, cap $1.10B) and BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.8x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REPX?

Per REPX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001001614), Riley Exploration Permian Inc. generated $392.0M in revenue (-4.4% YoY), $160.8M in net income, and $212.5M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $227.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REPX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REPX last traded at $52.10 (-0.02% on volume of 176,304 shares), positioning the stock +18.49% above its 50-day simple moving average ($43.97) and +43.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.19). Across its 52-week range of $24.08 to $54.57, REPX sits at the 91.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($48.19 to $56.01).

REPX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are REPX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies REPX leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: REPX RQD Cockpit REPX 12M Forecast REPX Earnings & Move REPX Dividends & DRIP REPX Insiders & 13F REPX Whale Options REPX Profit Sankey REPX News & Why