ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PLOW // Douglas Dynamics Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001287213 ↗
Industrials • Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks
$39.83 ▲ +0.13 (+0.33%)
MKT CAP: $919.2M • VOL: 156.4K
PLOW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 72/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +91.4% vs NI -16.5% • ROIC-WACC +12.1% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +7% • P/E 16.5x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did PLOW's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever PLOW is Upgraded or Downgraded.

PLOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.66%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $39.65H $40.02L $38.87C $39.83VOL 193.5K
RES: $40.18SUP: $38.32SMA50: $40.27SMA200: $43.06
$56.35$50.75$45.14$39.53$33.92RES $40.18SUP $38.32$39.832026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PLOW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 61/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Douglas Dynamics Inc. (PLOW) exhibits 26.6% gross margins and 20.7% return on invested capital within Industrials (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), balanced against a 11.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 26.6% gross profitability converts into 11.2% operating margin and 20.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 20.7% // GM: 26.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +15.4% paired with 6.95% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +15.4% // FCF YLD: 6.95%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 19.6x trailing P/E (16.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 19.6x // EV/EBITDA: 11.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $39.83 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks require continuous execution to defend 7.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.1% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 19.6x
FORWARD P/E 16.5x
EV / EBITDA 11.1x
FCF YIELD 6.95%
GROSS MARGIN 26.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 11.2%
NET MARGIN 7.1%
ROIC % 20.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +15.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.03
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.04%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 44.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PLOWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $36.45
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PLOW & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>