ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NGS // Natural Gas Services Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001084991 ↗
Energy • Oilfield Services/Equipment
$32.88 ▲ +0.05 (+0.15%)
MKT CAP: $424.1M • VOL: 51.4K
NGS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 38/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
38 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 47% • VS 200D -0.6% • RSI 49.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF YIELD -13.8% • P/E 19.8x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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NGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $32.58H $33.29L $32.16C $32.88VOL 81.7K
RES: $34.45SUP: $29.29SMA50: $33.79SMA200: $37.49
$45.64$41.38$37.11$32.85$28.59RES $34.45SUP $29.29$32.882026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
NGS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 10.7% return on invested capital within Energy (Oilfield Services/Equipment), balanced against a 3.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 21.6% operating margin and 10.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.7% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.9% paired with -13.81% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.9% // FCF YLD: -13.81%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.79 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.79 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.3x trailing P/E (19.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.3x // EV/EBITDA: 3.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $32.88 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Oilfield Services/Equipment require continuous execution to defend 11.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 11.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.3x
FORWARD P/E 19.8x
EV / EBITDA 3.0x
FCF YIELD -13.81%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 21.6%
NET MARGIN 11.6%
ROIC % 10.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.55
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.62%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NGSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $30.09
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NGS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>