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Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$32.88 +0.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.83

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $424.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.83 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NGS SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 21.6% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$33.10-6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$31.10-0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$30.97+6.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$32.88-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NGS currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.79) and Max Pain ($34.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

48.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.79>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE33% OF RANGE

L: $27$32.88H: $45

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NGS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (30)

10.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -13.81% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 1.79 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NGS

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NGS)

✓Walkthrough of NGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $32.58H $33.29L $32.16C $32.88VOL 81.7K

RES: $34.45SUP: $29.29SMA50: $33.79SMA200: $37.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NGS Butterfly Map → + Track NGS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGS)

Energy Rank #187 of 211 ⚔️ CLB vs NGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NGS vs. CLB, RNGR, NOA, ACDC)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) ranks #187 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #156 by equity capitalization ($424.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with NGS at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NGS ACTIVE Natural Gas Services Group Inc.	D-	38/100	21.3x	—	10.7%	+0.15%	$424.1M	Benchmark Subject
CLB Core Laboratories Inc.	C+	68/100	16.1x	20.7%	12.6%	-0.86%	$477.2M	/clb-vs-ngs →
RNGR Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	29.4x	—	4.2%	-0.65%	$361.3M	/rngr-vs-ngs →
NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	-0.95%	$347.5M	/noa-vs-ngs →
ACDC ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)	E	32/100	—	—	-11.4%	-2.81%	$883.3M	/acdc-vs-ngs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001084991

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) reported GAAP revenue of $172.3M (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $156.7M , and +1048.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.9M, operating cash flow of $62.9M, and free cash flow of -$58.6M (-978.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGS closed FY2025 with $586.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$172.3M	$19.9M	$62.9M	-$58.6M	$586.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$156.7M	$17.2M	$66.5M	-$5.4M	$492.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$15.0M	$4.7M	$18.0M	$18.0M	—	—

3. NGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NYSE: NGS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $32.88 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $424.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGS ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGS compare to CLB and RNGR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NGS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, CLB (Core Laboratories Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $477.2M) and RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $361.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGS?

Per NGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001084991), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generated $172.3M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $19.9M in net income, and -$58.6M in free cash flow against $586.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGS last traded at $32.88 (+0.15% on volume of 51,359 shares), positioning the stock -2.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.79) and -12.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.49). Across its 52-week range of $27.22 to $44.61, NGS sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($30.55 to $35.21).

NGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NGS stock right now?

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NGS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NGS's 12-month base price target is $29.92 (range $23.34 to $46.84), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NGS RQD Cockpit NGS 12M Forecast NGS Earnings & Move NGS Dividends & DRIP NGS Insiders & 13F NGS Whale Options NGS Profit Sankey NGS News & Why