Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$32.88 +0.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.83

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $424.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NYSE: NGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $32.88 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $424.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGS ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NGS compare to CLB and RNGR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NGS carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, CLB (Core Laboratories Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $477.2M) and RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $361.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGS?
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Per NGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001084991), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generated $172.3M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $19.9M in net income, and -$58.6M in free cash flow against $586.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.83 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$47 Bull$29 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE NGS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NGS SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 40% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.9) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$32.90-5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$31.04+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$31.28+5.1% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$32.88-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NGS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NGS currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.74) and Max Pain ($34.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NGS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $32.88: 304.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $22.76
$6,922
$-3,078 (-30.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $29.18
$8,875
$-1,125 (-11.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $46.84
$14,246
+$4,246 (+42.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$4469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NGS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.41%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $32.83H $32.88L $32.83C $32.88VOL 51.4K
RES: $34.34SUP: $29.19SMA50: $33.74SMA200: $37.48
$45.64$41.38$37.11$32.85$28.59RES $34.34SUP $29.19$32.882026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGS)

Energy Rank #190 of 211 ⚔️ CLB vs NGS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NGS vs. CLB, RNGR, NOA, ACDC)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) ranks #190 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #156 by equity capitalization ($424.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with NGS at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGS ACTIVE
Natural Gas Services Group Inc.
E 33/100 21.3x — 10.7% +0.15% $424.1M Benchmark Subject
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
D+ 58/100 16.1x 20.7% 12.6% -0.86% $477.2M /clb-vs-ngs →
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 29.4x — 4.2% -0.65% $361.3M /rngr-vs-ngs →
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 49/100 — — — -0.95% $347.5M /noa-vs-ngs →
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)
E 33/100 — — -11.4% -2.81% $883.3M /acdc-vs-ngs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001084991

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) reported GAAP revenue of $172.3M (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $156.7M , and +1048.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.9M, operating cash flow of $62.9M, and free cash flow of -$58.6M (-978.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGS closed FY2025 with $586.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $172.3M $19.9M $62.9M -$58.6M $586.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $156.7M $17.2M $66.5M -$5.4M $492.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $15.0M $4.7M $18.0M $18.0M — —

3. NGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NYSE: NGS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $32.88 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $424.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGS ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGS compare to CLB and RNGR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NGS carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, CLB (Core Laboratories Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $477.2M) and RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $361.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGS?

Per NGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001084991), Natural Gas Services Group Inc. generated $172.3M in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $19.9M in net income, and -$58.6M in free cash flow against $586.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGS last traded at $32.88 (+0.15% on volume of 51,359 shares), positioning the stock -2.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.74) and -12.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.48). Across its 52-week range of $27.22 to $44.61, NGS sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($30.64 to $35.12).

NGS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NGS's 12-month stock price target?

Natural Gas Services Group Inc. (NGS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $29.18 (-11.3% from $32.88), with a bull-case target of $46.84 and a bear-case floor of $22.76.

Is NGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NGS E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 33/100.

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