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Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.91 +3.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.92

Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $140.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.92 (+0.38%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TUSK SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 69.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.82-4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.70-1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.67+9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.91-9.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (23) → E (31)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TUSK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TUSK currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.95) and Max Pain ($3.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUSK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TUSK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

69.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE54% OF RANGE

L: $2$2.91H: $4

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 0 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on TUSK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (15)

-29.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TUSK

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUSK)

✓Walkthrough of TUSK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TUSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.75%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $2.99H $3.25L $2.89C $2.91VOL 493.8K

RES: $3.92SUP: $2.50SMA50: $2.95SMA200: $2.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TUSK Butterfly Map → + Track TUSK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUSK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUSK)

Energy Rank #202 of 211 ⚔️ KLXE vs TUSK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TUSK vs. KLXE, NINE, NOA, RNGR)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #182 by equity capitalization ($140.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NOA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with TUSK at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TUSK ACTIVE Mammoth Energy Services Inc.	E	31/100	30.5x	—	-29.0%	+3.19%	$140.1M	Benchmark Subject
KLXE KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.	E	29/100	—	21.2%	-13.8%	-1.69%	$122.6M	/klxe-vs-tusk →
NINE Nine Energy Service Inc.	E	21/100	—	—	0.9%	-3.44%	$109.6M	/nine-vs-tusk →
NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	-0.95%	$347.5M	/noa-vs-tusk →
RNGR Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)	D+	57/100	29.4x	—	4.2%	-0.65%	$361.3M	/rngr-vs-tusk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001679268

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) reported GAAP revenue of $44.3M (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $45.6M , and -85.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.6M, operating cash flow of -$18.6M, and free cash flow of -$89.1M (-149.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUSK closed FY2025 with $334.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$44.3M	$4.6M	-$18.6M	-$89.1M	$334.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$45.6M	-$207.3M	$180.7M	$179.5M	$384.0M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$309.5M	-$3.2M	$31.4M	$31.4M	—	—

3. TUSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TUSK) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $2.91 (+3.19% 1D, market cap $140.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TUSK ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), TUSK carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M) and NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?

Per TUSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001679268), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. generated $44.3M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$89.1M in free cash flow against $334.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TUSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUSK last traded at $2.91 (+3.19% on volume of 136,663 shares), positioning the stock -1.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.95) and +4.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.78). Across its 52-week range of $1.72 to $3.92, TUSK sits at the 54.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($2.65 to $3.17).

TUSK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TUSK stock right now?

Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 31/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TUSK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TUSK's 12-month base price target is $2.56 (range $2 to $4.12), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TUSK RQD Cockpit TUSK 12M Forecast TUSK Earnings & Move TUSK Dividends & DRIP TUSK Insiders & 13F TUSK Whale Options TUSK Profit Sankey TUSK News & Why